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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 18, 2023·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Vancouver Canucks 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 65% of the time.

VAN winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VAN forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Killorn–Stamkos–CirelliKucherov–Point–HagelPerry–Namestnikov–BellemareMaroon–Paul–ColtonStamkos–Kucherov–PointKillorn–Cirelli–HagelMaroon–Point–HagelSergachev–FooteCole–CernakBogosian–HedmanHedman–SergachevCole–SergachevHedman–CernakBogosian–FooteCole–Foote
Miller–Horvat–Garland1:460.12–0.002:340.20–0.032:200.09–0.021:010.13–0.001:160.11–0.001:240.11–0.006:440.23–0.050:370.00–0.000:470.10–0.001:100.23–0.00
Lazar–Joshua–Lockwood0:590.00–0.072:050.10–0.072:370.21–0.021:070.00–0.000:360.00–0.002:330.00–0.151:310.00–0.093:330.28–0.001:010.00–0.01
Studnicka–Dries–Mikheyev1:550.10–0.071:280.00–0.001:490.08–0.004:080.23–0.001:060.00–0.07
Boeser–Pettersson–Kuzmenko1:150.05–0.211:110.20–0.000:400.10–0.000:420.05–0.000:420.03–0.210:450.05–0.003:390.30–0.270:300.00–0.00
Boeser–Pettersson–Mikheyev2:420.06–0.110:380.22–0.000:480.22–0.001:370.06–0.111:120.00–0.02
Studnicka–Dries–Kuzmenko2:010.21–0.101:120.03–0.001:000.18–0.10
Myers–Ekman-Larsson4:390.13–0.333:130.20–0.232:320.06–0.002:100.00–0.090:370.10–0.004:480.12–0.145:490.12–0.252:200.01–0.261:400.10–0.091:070.23–0.00
Schenn–Hughes1:280.00–0.022:560.08–0.041:380.15–0.002:080.00–0.021:220.15–0.004:420.16–0.001:520.00–0.052:100.15–0.011:280.00–0.02
Burroughs–Bear2:230.06–0.310:520.00–0.012:120.26–0.111:290.11–0.001:470.08–0.211:530.03–0.013:410.32–0.190:560.00–0.010:500.00–0.00
Bear–Hughes0:310.05–0.001:280.13–0.001:140.11–0.000:460.00–0.000:530.03–0.002:050.09–0.002:580.25–0.270:370.00–0.00
Schenn–Burroughs1:330.00–0.021:130.00–0.01
Myers–Hughes0:370.34–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBoeser FPettersson FMikheyev FGarland FMiller FHorvat FLockwood FLazar FJoshua FStudnicka FKuzmenko FDries FSchenn DHughes DMyers DEkman-Larsson DBurroughs DBear DMartin GDelia GMaroon FPaul FColton FKillorn FCirelli FStamkos FHagel FKucherov FPoint FNamestnikov FBellemare FPerry FFoote DSergachev DCole DCernak DBogosian DHedman DElliott G
VANTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Quinn HughesVAN2926:490:552:4772
J.T. MillerVAN2124:151:092:3872
Mikhail SergachevTBL2424:081:002:0605
Victor HedmanTBL2622:340:521:5823
Bo HorvatVAN2122:141:042:2070
Ian ColeTBL2420:540:522:0209
Oliver Ekman-LarssonVAN2620:250:471:3254
Tyler MyersVAN2420:140:511:3323
Elias PetterssonVAN2319:580:522:2062
Brandon HagelTBL2319:110:502:2726
Erik CernakTBL2318:580:491:22010
Alex KillornTBL2318:340:481:2216
Brayden PointTBL1817:480:592:2501
Conor GarlandVAN2016:520:511:3971
Anthony CirelliTBL2116:520:481:2318
Ilya MikheyevVAN2216:320:451:3921
Ethan BearVAN2216:290:451:2262
Andrei KuzmenkoVAN2016:210:491:5852
Cal FooteTBL1616:181:012:0404
Brock BoeserVAN2116:100:462:2042
Steven StamkosTBL1715:540:561:3513
Zach BogosianTBL1915:290:491:2913
Luke SchennVAN2515:090:361:5031
Nikita KucherovTBL1814:540:502:1211
Sheldon DriesVAN1913:060:411:2630
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1813:020:431:2203
Patrick MaroonTBL1812:240:411:3713
Nick PaulTBL2012:200:371:0937
Kyle BurroughsVAN1712:090:431:2330
Corey PerryTBL1611:330:431:2012
Ross ColtonTBL1611:290:431:4224
Curtis LazarVAN1511:240:461:3823
Dakota JoshuaVAN1511:080:451:1642
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1710:570:391:2003
Jack StudnickaVAN1510:440:431:2020
William LockwoodVAN1510:370:421:1332