Sun, Feb 26, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 54% of the time.
46%
8%
9%
37%
PIT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:32 | 0.10 | 70.3% | 0.0 |
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:06 | 0.13 | 43.9% | +0.3 |
 Ian ColeD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:30 | 0.01 | 59.8% | +18.2 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 19:10 | 0.60 | 52.4% | +18.5 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 18:52 | 0.41 | 36.1% | +18.5 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.08 | 40.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.10 | 30.9% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:14 | 0.00 | 42.7% | +18.8 |
 Haydn FleuryD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:53 | 0.03 | 21.0% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:32 | 0.47 | 55.4% | +18.8 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.11 | 54.5% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.16 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:40 | 0.09 | 36.7% | 0.0 |
 Ross ColtonC · #79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 14:21 | 0.33 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MaroonLW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.05 | 52.1% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.16 | 32.7% | 0.0 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.00 | 41.9% | 0.0 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareLW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.19 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 Brian Elliott#1 | L | 36 | 29 | 7 | .806 | 3.31 | −3.7 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Brian DumoulinD · #8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:38 | 0.03 | 53.1% | +21.1 |
 Jeff PetryD · #26 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:31 | 0.04 | 55.0% | +32.3 |
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:42 | 0.07 | 48.6% | +28.5 |
 Marcus PetterssonD · #28 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 19:22 | 0.00 | 72.9% | +32.3 |
 Jan RuttaD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:26 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 |
 Pierre-Olivier JosephD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.09 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
 Evgeni MalkinC · #71 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 17:53 | 0.37 | 69.6% | +22.7 |
 Sidney CrosbyC · #87 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.36 | 41.3% | +22.8 |
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:37 | 0.54 | 54.5% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:29 | 0.34 | 44.0% | +22.0 |
 Rickard RakellRW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:48 | 0.34 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 15:37 | 0.56 | 63.9% | +2.3 |
 Brock McGinnLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 48.0% | 0.0 |
 Danton HeinenLW · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.13 | 45.1% | +2.3 |
 Jeff CarterC · #77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.07 | 29.3% | +6.5 |
 Teddy BluegerC · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 12:00 | 0.18 | 75.6% | +14.6 |
 Drew O'ConnorLW · #10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:42 | 0.20 | 63.1% | +17.8 |
 Josh ArchibaldRW · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 9:14 | 0.00 | 78.7% | +20.3 |
 Casey DeSmith#1 | W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.02 | 0.0 | 60:00 |