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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 26, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 54% of the time.

PIT winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Point–HagelKillorn–Stamkos–CirelliMaroon–Paul–ColtonPerry–Namestnikov–BellemareCole–HedmanSergachev–PerbixBogosian–FleuryHedman–SergachevCole–FleuryBogosian–SergachevBogosian–HedmanCole–Sergachev
Crosby–Rakell–Guentzel4:060.14–0.033:200.13–0.103:510.24–0.412:080.03–0.026:090.03–0.344:160.45–0.130:410.03–0.001:160.00–0.000:320.04–0.000:360.00–0.00
Malkin–Zucker–Rust2:060.05–0.334:470.31–0.001:120.05–0.003:180.20–0.192:590.21–0.263:470.29–0.003:440.30–0.000:490.00–0.000:360.03–0.00
Carter–McGinn–Heinen3:590.14–0.162:110.00–0.371:320.05–0.051:490.00–0.021:000.00–0.002:460.13–0.053:240.05–0.110:320.00–0.160:500.01–0.00
Archibald–Blueger–O'Connor1:490.16–0.003:050.00–0.101:410.00–0.001:290.15–0.001:500.00–0.053:260.01–0.01
Malkin–Zucker–Heinen0:580.12–0.05
Petry–Pettersson4:540.51–0.005:130.20–0.410:550.11–0.003:200.04–0.002:240.15–0.015:380.42–0.055:190.28–0.131:040.00–0.211:080.01–0.00
Letang–Dumoulin5:030.04–0.032:030.03–0.093:100.27–0.202:090.03–0.027:530.24–0.403:100.23–0.022:060.05–0.000:400.00–0.000:350.04–0.000:410.03–0.05
Joseph–Rutta1:160.11–0.252:280.13–0.015:260.05–0.153:310.23–0.212:320.00–0.193:190.24–0.054:520.28–0.010:580.00–0.00
Dumoulin–Rutta0:370.09–0.000:410.00–0.000:520.09–0.00
Letang–Joseph
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGuentzel FRakell FCrosby FZucker FRust FMalkin FHeinen FMcGinn FCarter FO'Connor FBlueger FArchibald FDumoulin DLetang DPetry DPettersson DRutta DJoseph DDeSmith GPoint FHagel FKucherov FCirelli FKillorn FStamkos FMaroon FPaul FColton FPerry FBellemare FNamestnikov FCole DHedman DPerbix DSergachev DFleury DBogosian DElliott G
PITTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2822:320:481:3034
Mikhail SergachevTBL2622:060:511:2445
Brian DumoulinPIT2621:380:501:5143
Jeff PetryPIT2321:310:562:0525
Kris LetangPIT2720:420:461:1461
Ian ColeTBL2520:300:491:1904
Marcus PetterssonPIT2519:220:461:1426
Nikita KucherovTBL2519:100:461:1950
Brayden PointTBL2418:520:471:1550
Jan RuttaPIT2618:260:431:2922
Brandon HagelTBL2418:210:461:2130
Pierre-Olivier JosephPIT2517:560:431:4821
Evgeni MalkinPIT2417:530:451:1651
Sidney CrosbyPIT2217:450:481:1851
Bryan RustPIT2317:370:461:1322
Jake GuentzelPIT2217:290:481:1051
Nick PerbixTBL2117:280:501:2213
Zach BogosianTBL2217:140:471:3321
Haydn FleuryTBL2316:530:441:1422
Rickard RakellPIT2216:480:461:1751
Anthony CirelliTBL1916:320:521:4532
Steven StamkosTBL1815:430:521:3342
Jason ZuckerPIT2015:370:471:1320
Nick PaulTBL2015:100:461:4016
Alex KillornTBL1614:400:551:5031
Brock McGinnPIT2114:380:421:0815
Ross ColtonTBL1814:210:481:4914
Danton HeinenPIT1713:430:481:0403
Patrick MaroonTBL1812:550:431:5003
Corey PerryTBL1412:470:551:2332
Jeff CarterPIT1912:460:401:0316
Teddy BluegerPIT1912:000:381:1712
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1311:490:551:2022
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1310:350:491:2123
Drew O'ConnorPIT149:420:421:3810
Josh ArchibaldPIT169:140:351:1810