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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 3, 2023·Mullett Arena, Tempe

Carolina Hurricanes 6, Arizona Coyotes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 85% of the time.

ARI winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

ARI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Fast–MartinookStastny–Stepan–NoesenAho–Svechnikov–JarvisTeravainen–Necas–KotkaniemiNecas–Kotkaniemi–SvechnikovTeravainen–Kotkaniemi–JarvisSkjei–PesceBurns–SlavinGostisbehere–ChatfieldGostisbehere–Slavin
Crouse–McBain–Maccelli2:230.00–0.251:120.07–0.003:490.24–0.341:520.00–0.394:460.23–0.343:170.01–0.261:590.07–0.300:450.00–0.00
Schmaltz–Keller–Hayton1:490.19–0.002:080.01–0.124:310.32–0.651:140.15–0.094:250.47–0.253:550.27–0.302:300.00–0.30
Kassian–O'Brien–Dauphin2:530.00–0.310:340.00–0.003:350.00–0.161:330.00–0.001:030.00–0.012:510.00–0.043:090.00–0.423:580.00–0.02
Boyd–Dea–Kelemen2:250.01–0.354:340.00–0.390:310.00–0.002:460.00–0.221:420.00–0.413:260.01–0.11
Nemeth–Moser4:050.01–0.122:160.00–0.353:100.07–0.352:210.07–0.600:510.00–0.004:090.06–0.187:420.09–0.922:220.00–0.30
Välimäki–Kesselring1:330.00–0.203:020.01–0.073:020.17–0.291:040.00–0.004:590.17–0.200:540.01–0.083:360.00–0.28
Soderstrom–Kolyachonok2:210.00–0.472:070.07–0.031:310.15–0.191:020.00–0.013:310.15–0.253:260.07–0.11
Välimäki–Soderstrom0:420.00–0.000:460.00–0.131:190.31–0.251:090.00–0.001:400.31–0.251:450.08–0.131:110.00–0.00
Kesselring–Kolyachonok0:480.17–0.001:010.00–0.040:560.00–0.000:570.00–0.001:070.00–0.001:090.16–0.000:570.01–0.040:440.00–0.00
Nemeth–Kolyachonok1:080.00–0.000:430.00–0.011:030.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSchmaltz FKeller FHayton FMcBain FMaccelli FCrouse FDauphin FO'Brien FKassian FDea FKelemen FBoyd FVälimäki DSoderstrom DMoser DNemeth DKesselring DKolyachonok DVejmelka GStaal FMartinook FFast FAho FJarvis FSvechnikov FNecas FKotkaniemi FTeravainen FStepan FNoesen FStastny FBurns DSlavin DPesce DSkjei DChatfield DGostisbehere DRaanta G
ARICARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Juuso VälimäkiARI2623:320:542:0536
J.J. MoserARI3022:550:461:1923
Brent BurnsCAR2822:220:481:2921
Patrik NemethARI2820:590:451:1913
Jaccob SlavinCAR2720:590:471:3711
Brady SkjeiCAR2620:440:481:3043
Brett PesceCAR2619:440:461:5052
Nick SchmaltzARI2319:410:512:0432
Clayton KellerARI2119:200:551:5831
Barrett HaytonARI2218:060:491:5732
Lawson CrouseARI2417:180:431:1737
Sebastian AhoCAR1917:030:541:2022
Travis BoydARI2217:000:461:4117
Shayne GostisbehereCAR2216:540:461:2252
Victor SoderstromARI2016:240:491:2432
Vladislav KolyachonokARI2016:130:491:3701
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1816:120:541:4511
Michael KesselringARI2416:040:401:4015
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1715:580:561:3520
Jordan MartinookCAR1815:490:531:2322
Martin NecasCAR1715:480:561:4520
Teuvo TeravainenCAR1715:330:551:2031
Jack McBainARI2315:260:401:1243
Jordan StaalCAR1815:230:511:2123
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2215:200:421:2544
Matias MaccelliARI2115:070:431:1143
Seth JarvisCAR1614:450:552:0311
Stefan NoesenCAR1814:200:481:1742
Laurent DauphinARI2014:010:421:2101
Liam O'BrienARI1913:310:431:1901
Jesper FastCAR1613:220:501:2421
Zack KassianARI1712:210:441:2001
Paul StastnyCAR1812:090:411:1032
Derek StepanCAR1711:390:410:5822
Jean-Sebastien DeaARI139:340:441:4114
Milos KelemenARI138:490:411:3813