Tue, Apr 11, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.
67%
19%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:55 | 0.01 | 64.7% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:55 | 0.00 | 84.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan O'ReillyC · #90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.40 | 58.5% | +29.1 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 20:17 | 0.28 | 38.5% | +39.1 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.05 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:19 | 0.42 | 65.4% | +22.7 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 18:06 | 0.49 | 79.6% | +51.8 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.04 | 17.3% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.23 | 28.6% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.00 | 68.8% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:45 | 0.16 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.08 | 40.6% | +17.5 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 57.2% | 0.0 |
 Noel AcciariC · #52 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.06 | 16.2% | +17.5 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:13 | 0.36 | 77.3% | +12.7 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:46 | 0.08 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:29 | 0.04 | 73.8% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | W | 48 | 45 | 3 | .938 | 4.37 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23:18 | 0.15 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 22:58 | 0.31 | 82.9% | +28.3 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22:56 | 1.19 | 60.5% | +20.7 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:47 | 0.35 | 66.8% | +16.6 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 21:01 | 0.81 | 60.5% | +20.7 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:40 | 0.08 | 21.5% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:39 | 0.59 | 50.1% | +16.6 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.09 | 50.1% | 0.0 |
 Ian ColeD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.08 | 3.8% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.00 | 2.4% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.10 | 38.5% | +20.7 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:37 | 0.19 | 57.7% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:20 | 0.05 | 82.3% | 0.0 |
 Ross ColtonC · #79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:00 | 0.07 | 25.5% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.21 | 8.3% | 0.0 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.08 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareLW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:57 | 0.00 | 6.9% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MaroonLW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:51 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.69 | −1.3 | 56:59 |