Wed, Oct 11, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Ottawa Senators 3, Carolina Hurricanes 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 58% of the time.
49%
9%
35%
CAR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 25:31 | 0.05 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:05 | 0.22 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:44 | 0.16 | 26.1% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:52 | 0.01 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:59 | 0.00 | 45.8% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.32 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:07 | 0.56 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:21 | 0.79 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.25 | 69.3% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.01 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:32 | 0.25 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:28 | 0.20 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.08 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.00 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.28 | 49.1% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:36 | 0.05 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:33 | 0.00 | 11.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 42 | 37 | 5 | .881 | 3.68 | −1.3 | 59:25 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:49 | 0.47 | 48.7% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:59 | 0.13 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:55 | 0.14 | 68.0% | +52.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.22 | 74.2% | +18.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:39 | 0.51 | 49.4% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:13 | 0.06 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.09 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:48 | 0.08 | 27.0% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.12 | 43.2% | +23.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:20 | 0.25 | 64.9% | +11.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:16 | 0.32 | 65.7% | +42.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.05 | 76.8% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:50 | 0.36 | 49.1% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 14:05 | 0.74 | 77.8% | +28.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.05 | 58.4% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.02 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.08 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:39 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 3.23 | +0.2 | 60:00 |