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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 24, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 0, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Noesen–Kotkaniemi–JarvisLemieux–Bunting–DruryStaal–Fast–MartinookTeravainen–Aho–NecasStaal–Fast–AhoTeravainen–Martinook–NecasStaal–Aho–JarvisBunting–Necas–KotkaniemiNoesen–Teravainen–MartinookStaal–Aho–NecasFast–Bunting–DruryAho–Necas–KotkaniemiStaal–Martinook–NecasOrlov–SkjeiBurns–SlavinDeAngelo–ChatfieldSkjei–SlavinBurns–OrlovOrlov–ChatfieldSkjei–DeAngeloSlavin–DeAngeloOrlov–DeAngelo
Cirelli–Jeannot–Merela3:420.18–0.103:020.11–0.100:390.00–0.042:430.16–0.203:140.13–0.051:510.00–0.10
Stamkos–Paul–Hagel1:480.09–0.073:110.24–0.161:160.00–0.070:440.00–0.051:590.18–0.023:390.15–0.160:550.08–0.000:430.00–0.16
Kucherov–Point–Barré-Boulet2:490.21–0.072:000.11–0.001:150.53–0.000:570.00–0.004:350.47–0.431:470.11–0.000:490.27–0.07
Glendening–Sheary–Eyssimont3:570.03–0.061:070.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:330.00–0.002:540.00–0.130:560.00–0.00
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point0:550.00–0.150:320.00–0.000:530.00–0.15
Cirelli–Hagel–Jeannot0:540.00–0.010:590.00–0.01
Glendening–Sheary–Merela0:310.00–0.00
Sergachev–Perbix2:440.00–0.141:110.00–0.131:140.00–0.011:350.01–0.100:480.00–0.000:400.08–0.001:030.00–0.152:330.00–0.073:100.01–0.103:290.00–0.311:070.00–0.080:390.08–0.00
de Haan–Raddysh1:490.00–0.052:390.03–0.062:020.08–0.160:380.13–0.000:480.26–0.001:010.00–0.003:150.37–0.042:580.11–0.051:340.00–0.061:080.00–0.000:570.00–0.160:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Hedman–Cernak1:500.24–0.000:320.15–0.001:390.01–0.052:050.11–0.000:320.00–0.001:200.00–0.060:330.00–0.054:190.24–0.473:230.28–0.111:000.00–0.000:360.00–0.04
Raddysh–Sergachev0:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:500.06–0.000:320.00–0.070:450.00–0.00
Hedman–Perbix0:400.00–0.040:360.00–0.010:500.00–0.001:000.00–0.000:330.00–0.03
Cernak–Sergachev0:390.00–0.100:390.00–0.10
de Haan–Cernak0:320.00–0.120:450.16–0.12
de Haan–Perbix0:310.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Hedman–Raddysh0:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPaul FHagel FStamkos FJeannot FCirelli FMerela FPoint FKucherov FBarré-Boulet FSheary FGlendening FEyssimont FRaddysh Dde Haan DSergachev DPerbix DHedman DCernak DJohansson GStaal FMartinook FFast FNecas FAho FTeravainen FNoesen FKotkaniemi FJarvis FBunting FDrury FLemieux FChatfield DOrlov DSlavin DBurns DSkjei DDeAngelo DKochetkov G
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevTBL2722:580:511:5613
Jaccob SlavinCAR2522:490:552:1142
Dmitry OrlovCAR2522:220:541:2961
Victor HedmanTBL2822:170:481:3855
Brady SkjeiCAR2421:530:551:2532
Anthony CirelliTBL2321:500:571:5607
Sebastian AhoCAR2021:051:031:4060
Martin NecasCAR1920:191:042:0041
Seth JarvisCAR2118:530:541:3292
Darren RaddyshTBL2318:510:491:4013
Erik CernakTBL2418:480:471:5326
Brent BurnsCAR2318:470:491:4442
Nick PerbixTBL2618:240:421:2024
Brayden PointTBL2218:000:491:4953
Brandon HagelTBL2217:500:491:3034
Tony DeAngeloCAR1817:420:591:5232
Jordan StaalCAR2016:500:511:3304
Nikita KucherovTBL2216:370:451:4953
Steven StamkosTBL2016:130:491:4761
Michael BuntingCAR1615:310:581:3432
Calvin de HaanTBL2315:140:401:0814
Tanner JeannotTBL1715:090:531:2802
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR2115:020:431:0862
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2014:110:431:1560
Jordan MartinookCAR2113:580:401:0124
Nick PaulTBL1813:360:451:5053
Jalen ChatfieldCAR1913:030:411:0704
Waltteri MerelaTBL1612:370:471:3101
Stefan NoesenCAR1912:290:391:0061
Luke GlendeningTBL1912:190:391:1415
Jesper FastCAR1712:000:421:2502
Alex Barré-BouletTBL1711:110:391:0911
Conor ShearyTBL129:260:471:0300
Jack DruryCAR129:220:471:0602
Michael EyssimontTBL129:090:461:0610
Brendan LemieuxCAR106:360:400:5801