Sat, Nov 4, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.
22%
63%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 24:46 | 0.13 | 72.9% | +22.3 |
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:42 | 0.01 | 65.3% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 23:16 | 0.32 | 66.2% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +1 | 5 | 21:00 | 0.95 | 62.2% | +52.4 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:33 | 0.00 | 44.0% | +16.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:32 | 0.59 | 74.6% | +4.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.10 | 77.4% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 5 | 17:59 | 0.55 | 71.8% | +48.6 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.32 | 79.7% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.11 | 69.6% | 0.0 |
 Conor ShearyLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:23 | 0.24 | 70.9% | 0.0 |
 Calvin de HaanD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.03 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:53 | 0.09 | 55.0% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:29 | 0.11 | 48.4% | 0.0 |
 Alex Barré-BouletC · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 11:02 | 0.12 | 38.0% | +3.8 |
 Tanner JeannotLW · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:21 | 0.05 | 61.2% | 0.0 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:01 | 0.16 | 60.6% | +16.0 |
 Austin WatsonLW · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:01 | 0.10 | 88.3% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | W | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.67 | −1.3 | 59:50 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 28:37 | 0.14 | 38.9% | +22.8 |
 Jakob ChychrunD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 27:29 | 0.12 | 35.8% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:50 | 0.01 | 43.2% | +7.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 21:51 | 0.62 | 44.0% | +26.3 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:07 | 0.01 | 24.4% | +7.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:47 | 0.58 | 46.9% | +4.9 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:45 | 0.29 | 38.9% | +3.5 |
 Mathieu JosephRW · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.33 | 30.6% | +17.8 |
 Travis HamonicD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.01 | 18.6% | 0.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:10 | 0.08 | 30.2% | +7.0 |
 Dominik KubalikLW · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.09 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoRW · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:43 | 0.33 | 41.2% | 0.0 |
 Rourke ChartierC · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.06 | 10.2% | 0.0 |
 Parker KellyC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.00 | 14.4% | 0.0 |
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.01 | 68.6% | 0.0 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:52 | 0.00 | 64.7% | 0.0 |
 Roby JarventieLW · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:38 | 0.00 | 13.2% | 0.0 |
 Zack MacEwenRW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:02 | 0.00 | 2.2% | 0.0 |
 Anton Forsberg#31 | L | 17 | 14 | 3 | .824 | 1.67 | −1.3 | 33:26 |
 Joonas Korpisalo#70 | – | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.75 | −1.2 | 24:57 |