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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 8, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington

Florida Panthers 4, Washington Capitals 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 68% of the time.

WSH winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Barkov–Reinhart–RodriguesVerhaeghe–Tkachuk–LundellCousins–Stenlund–LuostarinenLorentz–Lomberg–LockwoodVerhaeghe–Lorentz–TkachukEkman-Larsson–ForslingKulikov–MikkolaReilly–MahuraReilly–ForslingKulikov–ForslingEkman-Larsson–Mikkola
Mantha–McMichael–Protas1:500.14–0.063:250.14–0.111:320.00–0.020:510.00–0.420:520.00–0.082:250.05–0.023:570.25–0.470:520.00–0.06
Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson3:500.03–0.080:530.10–0.002:090.00–0.000:330.00–0.004:100.12–0.081:340.00–0.000:570.00–0.00
Oshie–Milano–Strome1:580.00–0.002:560.11–0.000:540.00–0.271:130.00–0.003:540.11–0.28
Ovechkin–Wilson–Strome0:400.00–0.004:220.31–0.120:450.00–0.002:210.31–0.122:270.01–0.001:280.00–0.00
Oshie–Kuznetsov–Milano3:340.05–0.010:590.09–0.040:390.07–0.003:020.02–0.052:020.18–0.00
Malenstyn–Phillips–Lapierre1:490.00–0.290:390.00–0.132:360.03–0.071:060.01–0.001:410.02–0.071:470.00–0.420:370.00–0.00
Kuznetsov–Mantha–Protas0:300.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:380.03–0.00
Malenstyn–McMichael–Protas1:140.02–0.001:000.02–0.00
Ovechkin–Oshie–Strome0:300.01–0.00
Ovechkin–Oshie–Kuznetsov0:350.06–0.00
Jensen–Sandin5:030.02–0.004:370.36–0.102:070.16–0.041:400.02–0.000:530.00–0.425:270.24–0.056:200.09–0.002:460.23–0.450:310.00–0.05
Carlson–Fehérváry3:030.05–0.015:590.12–0.171:060.01–0.000:470.21–0.057:020.16–0.172:490.03–0.001:040.01–0.00
Haman Aktell–Alexeyev3:490.05–0.212:560.00–0.091:060.01–0.082:590.05–0.093:000.00–0.15
Jensen–Fehérváry1:350.00–0.001:040.12–0.000:390.00–0.001:040.18–0.000:590.03–0.00
Carlson–Sandin1:290.00–0.040:400.63–0.000:410.00–0.101:220.10–0.001:190.09–0.140:340.44–0.00
Carlson–Haman Aktell1:230.00–0.000:310.00–0.010:400.00–0.000:400.00–0.010:360.00–0.00
Fehérváry–Sandin0:580.00–0.000:330.00–0.001:090.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Haman Aktell–Fehérváry0:560.00–0.270:490.00–0.27
Haman Aktell–Sandin0:440.00–0.00
Jensen–Alexeyev1:040.00–0.290:570.00–0.29
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndMilano FOshie FKuznetsov FWilson FOvechkin FStrome FMantha FProtas FMcMichael FMalenstyn FLapierre FPhillips FJensen DSandin DFehérváry DCarlson DHaman Aktell DAlexeyev DKuemper GReinhart FBarkov FRodrigues FTkachuk FLundell FVerhaeghe FStenlund FCousins FLuostarinen FLorentz FLomberg FLockwood FKulikov DMikkola DForsling DEkman-Larsson DReilly DMahura DBobrovsky G
WSHFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Gustav ForslingFLA3225:080:471:2463
John CarlsonWSH2624:540:572:0113
Nick JensenWSH2724:340:552:2222
Rasmus SandinWSH2824:260:522:3152
Oliver Ekman-LarssonFLA3323:530:431:1775
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2722:470:511:4883
Alex OvechkinWSH2522:310:542:3775
Dmitry KulikovFLA3221:590:411:1633
Niko MikkolaFLA3121:530:421:4323
Dylan StromeWSH2421:010:531:4924
Martin FehérváryWSH2420:120:511:4014
T.J. OshieWSH2319:280:512:1431
Sam ReinhartFLA2719:020:421:1553
Aleksander BarkovFLA2718:480:421:1244
Matthew TkachukFLA2018:410:561:5631
Evan RodriguesFLA2518:010:431:1042
Tom WilsonWSH2617:590:421:4145
Carter VerhaegheFLA2117:490:511:5040
Anton LundellFLA2316:510:441:2231
Kevin StenlundFLA2215:290:421:2203
Sonny MilanoWSH2115:230:441:1332
Connor McMichaelWSH2015:090:451:5612
Nick CousinsFLA1814:410:491:2402
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2114:050:401:0413
Aliaksei ProtasWSH1913:470:441:4602
Mike ReillyFLA1913:460:431:1302
Hardy Haman AktellWSH1712:590:461:4711
Anthony ManthaWSH1512:580:521:4700
Josh MahuraFLA1711:510:421:2202
Steven LorentzFLA1310:090:471:1112
Alexander AlexeyevWSH129:260:472:4112
Beck MalenstynWSH129:110:461:2612
William LockwoodFLA117:280:411:0712
Ryan LombergFLA117:110:390:4812
Matthew PhillipsWSH96:090:411:2710
Hendrix LapierreWSH85:510:441:2710