Sat, Nov 11, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 75% of the time.
17%
68%
TBL winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis | Bunting–Necas–Kotkaniemi | Staal–Teravainen–Martinook | Fast–Noesen–Drury | Staal–Fast–Martinook | Fast–Aho–Svechnikov | Noesen–Necas–Kotkaniemi | Teravainen–Necas–Kotkaniemi | Burns–Slavin | Skjei–Pesce | Orlov–DeAngelo | Orlov–Skjei | Orlov–Pesce | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamkos–Motte–Paul | 0:380.02–0.00 | 3:290.00–0.02 | 1:080.02–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.06 | 0:460.00–0.02 | 3:150.00–0.02 | 3:450.05–0.08 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||
| Watson–Glendening–Merela | 1:020.00–0.22 | 3:060.03–0.18 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.22 | 2:100.03–0.18 | ||||||||
| Point–Hagel–Barré-Boulet | 1:250.00–0.10 | 2:250.14–0.00 | 3:030.06–0.01 | 1:030.08–0.00 | |||||||||
| Cirelli–Eyssimont–Jeannot | 2:420.00–0.11 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 2:220.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Point–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:470.07–0.08 | 1:300.00–0.01 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:340.07–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.01 | ||||||||
| Paul–Jeannot–Merela | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.19 | 0:330.14–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.19 | 2:000.14–0.04 | ||||||||
| Watson–Glendening–Motte | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:190.12–0.02 | 1:270.05–0.04 | |||||||||
| Stamkos–Point–Eyssimont | 2:160.29–0.05 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.05 | 0:340.29–0.00 | |||||||||
| Cirelli–Hagel–Barré-Boulet | 1:320.12–0.00 | 0:480.12–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Stamkos–Point–Barré-Boulet | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Cirelli–Hagel–Eyssimont | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:000.13–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Motte–Paul–Jeannot | 0:590.00–0.02 | 1:010.00–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Raddysh–Sergachev | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:240.04–0.12 | 3:450.00–0.60 | 0:480.00–0.17 | 1:340.02–0.00 | 5:090.16–0.75 | 3:140.02–0.12 | 1:450.05–0.21 | |||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 5:190.10–0.29 | 1:060.08–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.02 | 2:380.00–0.12 | 3:000.18–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.02 | |||||||
| de Haan–Perbix | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 2:570.18–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.12 | 2:290.00–0.06 | 2:180.18–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Sergachev–Perbix | 1:090.02–0.00 | 1:570.00–0.02 | 2:240.11–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.01 | |||||||||
| Hedman–Perbix | 1:290.16–0.06 | 0:530.35–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.02 | 0:580.21–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.06 | 2:210.35–0.02 | |||||||
| de Haan–Raddysh | 1:360.00–0.11 | 1:490.00–0.01 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 1:340.00–0.11 | 1:170.00–0.01 | ||||||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.05 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.05 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| de Haan–Sergachev | 0:490.12–0.03 | 0:440.00–0.19 | 0:470.12–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.19 | 0:350.00–0.03 | ||||||||
| Hedman–Sergachev | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 31 | 25:34 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 6 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 25 | 23:07 | 0:55 | 1:52 | 4 | 4 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 28 | 21:58 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 3 | 1 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 22 | 21:38 | 0:59 | 1:51 | 3 | 3 |
 Brady SkjeiCAR | 24 | 21:20 | 0:53 | 1:36 | 2 | 4 |
 Brent BurnsCAR | 26 | 21:07 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 2 | 4 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 25 | 20:40 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 2 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 23 | 19:48 | 0:52 | 2:00 | 8 | 2 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 23 | 19:29 | 0:51 | 1:50 | 6 | 3 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 24 | 19:12 | 0:48 | 1:59 | 2 | 6 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 22 | 19:07 | 0:52 | 1:32 | 8 | 1 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 28 | 17:45 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 0 | 2 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 22 | 17:35 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 6 | 0 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 26 | 17:33 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 3 | 5 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 21 | 17:16 | 0:49 | 2:13 | 6 | 2 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 22 | 17:13 | 0:47 | 2:06 | 7 | 0 |
 Martin NecasCAR | 17 | 16:58 | 1:00 | 1:32 | 4 | 2 |
 Dmitry OrlovCAR | 19 | 16:19 | 0:52 | 2:41 | 3 | 2 |
 Tyler MotteTBL | 21 | 16:18 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 1 | 3 |
 Calvin de HaanTBL | 21 | 16:17 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 1 | 2 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 23 | 16:16 | 0:42 | 1:33 | 1 | 7 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 20 | 15:41 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 1 | 4 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 21 | 15:33 | 0:44 | 2:13 | 3 | 5 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 16 | 15:27 | 0:58 | 1:32 | 3 | 3 |
 Tony DeAngeloCAR | 18 | 14:40 | 0:49 | 1:59 | 5 | 1 |
 Alex Barré-BouletTBL | 20 | 13:56 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 5 | 2 |
 Michael BuntingCAR | 14 | 12:33 | 0:54 | 1:40 | 3 | 1 |
 Jesper FastCAR | 17 | 12:28 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 0 | 0 |
 Tanner JeannotTBL | 16 | 12:25 | 0:47 | 1:04 | 3 | 0 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 20 | 12:16 | 0:37 | 1:31 | 1 | 5 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 18 | 12:04 | 0:40 | 1:03 | 2 | 2 |
 Waltteri MerelaTBL | 14 | 11:11 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 1 | 1 |
 Stefan NoesenCAR | 14 | 11:00 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack DruryCAR | 13 | 10:22 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 0 | 0 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 13 | 9:57 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 1 | 3 |
 Austin WatsonTBL | 14 | 8:55 | 0:38 | 1:25 | 0 | 1 |