Sat, Dec 2, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Dallas Stars 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 57% of the time.
48%
10%
36%
DAL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 21:56 | 0.02 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 21:47 | 0.80 | 46.8% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:21 | 0.45 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:03 | 0.19 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.11 | 44.3% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 19:14 | 0.01 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:47 | 0.34 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.10 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.11 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.02 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:39 | 0.73 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.01 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:54 | 0.04 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 12:48 | 0.24 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.00 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:39 | 0.14 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.01 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 50.8% | 0.0 |
| – | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 1.11 | −0.9 | 20:00 | |
| L | 25 | 19 | 6 | .760 | 2.53 | −3.5 | 40:00 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 23:38 | 0.02 | 76.9% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.10 | 54.5% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 19:39 | 0.00 | 81.3% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 19:24 | 0.10 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:19 | 0.17 | 33.8% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.32 | 47.4% | +7.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.24 | 68.5% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.00 | 16.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:07 | 0.38 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.20 | 46.8% | +8.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.15 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 14:33 | 0.68 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 14:18 | 0.36 | 80.2% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.37 | 79.7% | +4.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:38 | 0.35 | 56.7% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:18 | 0.00 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:16 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 11:29 | 0.21 | 72.0% | +15.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 3.33 | +2.3 | 60:00 |