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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 9, 2023·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Seattle Kraken 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.

SEA winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

SEA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Paul–Cirelli–Barré-BouletKucherov–Point–HagelGlendening–Eyssimont–JeannotKucherov–Paul–CirelliKucherov–Paul–PointGlendening–Motte–KoepkeGlendening–Hagel–EyssimontCirelli–Jeannot–Barré-BouletMotte–Point–KoepkeCernak–Sergachevde Haan–Raddyshde Haan–PerbixHedman–RaddyshSergachev–PerbixFleury–RaddyshFleury–CernakHedman–PerbixRaddysh–SergachevFleury–Perbixde Haan–Cernak
Gourde–Bjorkstrand–Tolvanen6:350.15–0.100:440.02–0.000:440.00–0.001:240.00–0.160:440.00–0.002:020.00–0.101:570.15–0.091:280.00–0.031:260.02–0.071:390.00–0.001:000.02–0.001:090.00–0.001:580.00–0.00
Eberle–Kartye–Beniers0:520.00–0.042:230.15–0.213:060.25–0.011:010.03–0.001:020.00–0.160:400.00–0.013:410.28–0.251:270.03–0.001:350.05–0.160:420.07–0.001:330.00–0.010:350.00–0.00
Wennberg–McCann–Tanev1:190.00–0.173:470.27–0.122:460.00–0.002:010.27–0.022:330.00–0.071:260.00–0.171:010.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:460.00–0.060:410.00–0.00
Shore–Bellemare–Yamamoto0:380.03–0.000:380.03–0.000:510.00–0.00
Bellemare–Tanev–Kartye0:330.03–0.000:310.00–0.00
Bjorkstrand–Wennberg–McCann
Larsson–Dunn6:000.01–0.102:100.26–0.080:560.13–0.001:100.00–0.070:560.02–0.000:400.09–0.003:090.39–0.122:040.01–0.002:060.17–0.070:430.00–0.000:470.02–0.001:240.09–0.392:240.00–0.001:020.00–0.060:420.00–0.00
Oleksiak–Borgen3:460.24–0.173:520.18–0.480:320.12–0.001:350.11–0.212:310.15–0.011:060.00–0.170:490.00–0.221:430.12–0.010:400.03–0.001:000.10–0.00
Schultz–Evans2:360.04–0.030:490.01–0.001:190.00–0.090:400.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Larsson–Evans1:160.03–0.010:440.00–0.001:130.00–0.040:580.03–0.090:590.00–0.030:550.00–0.01
Oleksiak–Evans0:330.00–0.001:120.07–0.000:340.01–0.000:340.01–0.000:320.04–0.000:320.00–0.000:410.07–0.00
Dunn–Borgen0:550.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:560.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:380.00–0.05
Borgen–Evans1:150.05–0.000:340.02–0.000:540.05–0.00
Dunn–Evans1:100.00–0.001:010.02–0.00
Larsson–Oleksiak0:430.02–0.000:320.04–0.000:360.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndTolvanen FBjorkstrand FGourde FKartye FBeniers FEberle FTanev FMcCann FWennberg FShore FBellemare FYamamoto FLarsson DDunn DBorgen DOleksiak DSchultz DEvans DGrubauer GDaccord GBarré-Boulet FPaul FCirelli FKucherov FHagel FPoint FGlendening FEyssimont FJeannot FMotte FKoepke FPerbix DHedman DCernak DSergachev DRaddysh Dde Haan DFleury DVasilevskiy G
SEATBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Vince DunnSEA3129:000:562:5152
Adam LarssonSEA2826:220:572:0623
Mikhail SergachevTBL3025:040:502:2017
Brandon HagelTBL2922:550:471:4811
Yanni GourdeSEA2522:120:531:3524
Nick PaulTBL2822:070:472:1864
Darren RaddyshTBL2321:540:571:3542
Brayden PointTBL2621:270:502:1711
Nikita KucherovTBL2421:210:532:1920
Anthony CirelliTBL2721:070:471:2841
Oliver BjorkstrandSEA2220:190:552:0143
Erik CernakTBL2620:020:461:2507
Alexander WennbergSEA2519:480:482:1975
Jamie OleksiakSEA2619:410:452:0312
Matty BeniersSEA2219:350:532:0130
Eeli TolvanenSEA2219:130:521:3022
Jordan EberleSEA2219:100:521:2940
Calvin de HaanTBL2219:040:521:5820
Jared McCannSEA2619:000:441:3963
Luke GlendeningTBL2718:360:411:2516
Ryker EvansSEA2016:570:511:2031
Will BorgenSEA2316:340:431:1902
Alex Barré-BouletTBL2015:140:461:0922
Tye KartyeSEA1914:400:461:1040
Brandon TanevSEA2014:140:431:1724
Nick PerbixTBL2213:560:381:5512
Victor HedmanTBL1413:400:592:0631
Tanner JeannotTBL1712:300:441:1813
Michael EyssimontTBL1512:100:491:2513
Kailer YamamotoSEA1310:170:471:1610
Tyler MotteTBL148:370:371:0504
Haydn FleuryTBL118:320:471:2510
Pierre-Edouard BellemareSEA138:130:381:0401
Justin SchultzSEA98:110:551:2521
Devin ShoreSEA85:030:380:5700
Cole KoepkeTBL84:150:320:4700