Sun, Dec 31, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Montréal Canadiens 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 63% of the time.
27%
10%
8%
55%
TBL winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:27 | 0.03 | 54.4% | +4.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:33 | 0.21 | 53.4% | +4.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:11 | 0.60 | 52.4% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 22:10 | 0.11 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:42 | 0.13 | 52.4% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.07 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.34 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:42 | 0.47 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.01 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.07 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.40 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.04 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:02 | 0.06 | 97.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.00 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.00 | 10.2% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:04 | 0.16 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:33 | 0.06 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:54 | 0.00 | 96.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 16 | 4 | .800 | 2.03 | −2.0 | 58:24 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 29:52 | 0.28 | 52.7% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 25:15 | 0.00 | 45.0% | +23.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25:05 | 0.19 | 26.5% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:30 | 0.06 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:19 | 0.17 | 32.3% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:09 | 0.14 | 75.3% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:51 | 0.23 | 51.5% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.20 | 34.3% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:02 | 0.02 | 35.1% | +9.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:57 | 0.14 | 44.4% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:11 | 0.42 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.00 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.13 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:27 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:49 | 0.04 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:25 | 0.00 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:39 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 6:06 | 0.01 | 15.0% | +23.9 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.75 | −0.2 | 60:00 |