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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 19, 2024·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Detroit Red Wings 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 93% of the time.

CAR winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Perron–Larkin–RaymondCopp–Fischer–RasmussenCompher–Fabbri–DeBrincatSprong–Kostin–VelenoCompher–Sprong–DeBrincatFabbri–Kostin–VelenoMaatta–GostisbehereWalman–SeiderPetry–ChiarotPetry–MaattaPetry–SeiderMaatta–Seider
Noesen–Necas–Drury10:060.50–0.100:480.00–0.001:050.11–0.004:250.28–0.005:140.29–0.002:290.00–0.050:450.00–0.000:500.00–0.05
Teravainen–Aho–Svechnikov1:280.06–0.006:160.11–0.051:040.05–0.003:420.01–0.042:200.07–0.004:230.12–0.005:400.14–0.09
Staal–Martinook–Jarvis9:520.21–0.030:550.02–0.061:100.00–0.005:030.03–0.004:570.23–0.072:090.00–0.03
Fast–Bunting–Kotkaniemi1:120.00–0.110:390.00–0.004:230.16–0.132:390.06–0.155:070.09–0.182:150.04–0.001:590.09–0.21
Noesen–Aho–Necas
Staal–Martinook–Necas0:480.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Skjei–Pesce7:260.04–0.031:360.00–0.152:060.04–0.003:460.20–0.133:230.00–0.071:110.02–0.157:570.08–0.184:020.10–0.036:460.17–0.331:030.01–0.000:320.03–0.00
Burns–Slavin6:040.23–0.010:330.05–0.005:460.34–0.051:390.05–0.001:080.01–0.001:330.08–0.004:590.37–0.008:120.26–0.022:540.05–0.050:430.11–0.00
Orlov–Chatfield11:070.50–0.112:020.00–0.001:330.07–0.005:430.30–0.006:300.28–0.062:500.00–0.000:500.00–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FJarvis FMartinook FAho FSvechnikov FTeravainen FDrury FFast FNecas FNoesen FKotkaniemi FBunting FPesce DSkjei DBurns DSlavin DOrlov DChatfield DRaanta GRaymond FPerron FLarkin FFabbri FCompher FDeBrincat FCopp FRasmussen FFischer FSprong FKostin FVeleno FChiarot DPetry DSeider DWalman DMaatta DGostisbehere DLyon G
CARDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET2723:230:521:1915
Brady SkjeiCAR2822:550:491:2842
Brett PesceCAR2822:370:481:2842
Olli MaattaDET2622:250:521:4315
Shayne GostisbehereDET2522:190:541:4833
Jake WalmanDET2520:400:501:1915
Brent BurnsCAR2619:280:451:0342
Jaccob SlavinCAR2519:260:471:1432
Martin NecasCAR2118:520:541:3161
Alex DeBrincatDET2217:530:491:1925
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2317:490:461:2962
J.T. CompherDET2417:370:441:1246
Sebastian AhoCAR2517:270:421:1580
Dmitry OrlovCAR2317:140:451:2642
Dylan LarkinDET2216:570:461:1323
Jeff PetryDET2416:570:421:1416
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2516:400:401:2080
Jordan MartinookCAR2515:580:381:0342
Stefan NoesenCAR2015:540:481:1771
David PerronDET2215:500:431:1323
Jordan StaalCAR2415:490:401:0342
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2315:460:411:3770
Andrew CoppDET2015:460:471:1215
Jack DruryCAR2115:280:441:1361
Seth JarvisCAR2515:250:371:1053
Michael RasmussenDET1815:050:501:4124
Lucas RaymondDET2215:010:411:1333
Daniel SprongDET1815:000:501:1222
Robby FabbriDET1814:390:491:1214
Christian FischerDET1814:320:481:1914
Ben ChiarotDET2013:420:411:1214
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1311:160:521:1331
Michael BuntingCAR1411:130:481:0941
Klim KostinDET1311:020:511:1111
Joseph VelenoDET1311:020:511:1111
Jesper FastCAR1410:230:451:0531