Tue, Jan 23, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Dallas Stars 5, Detroit Red Wings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
33%
DET winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:03 | 0.13 | 72.4% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.01 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:17 | 0.04 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.09 | 35.2% | +34.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17:43 | 0.08 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 17:15 | 0.57 | 79.2% | +44.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.05 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 16:39 | 0.29 | 77.0% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.13 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.16 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.00 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.06 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:47 | 0.19 | 44.4% | +19.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 13:37 | 0.39 | 80.6% | +58.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:37 | 0.14 | 48.9% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.09 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.11 | 49.2% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:15 | 0.11 | 38.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 3.12 | −0.9 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:37 | 0.22 | 58.0% | +18.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:34 | 0.21 | 58.0% | +11.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:23 | 0.34 | 35.5% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:18 | 0.13 | 48.8% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:10 | 0.06 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:03 | 0.37 | 42.4% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:27 | 0.06 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:01 | 0.04 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:25 | 0.00 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.00 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:29 | 0.05 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 15:26 | 0.44 | 28.2% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 14:19 | 0.31 | 35.0% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.26 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.29 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:50 | 0.04 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:58 | 0.15 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:26 | 0.17 | 40.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 27 | 5 | .844 | 2.00 | −3.0 | 40:00 | |
| – | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.64 | +0.6 | 17:38 |