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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 23, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Dallas Stars 5, Detroit Red Wings 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 59% of the time.

DET winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Duchene–Seguin–MarchmentHintz–Robertson–JohnstonDadonov–Faksa–DellandreaPavelski–Benn–SteelSteel–Robertson–JohnstonPavelski–Steel–RobertsonHakanpää–LindellSuter–LundkvistHanley–HarleySuter–HarleyLundkvist–HarleyHanley–LundkvistHakanpää–HarleySuter–Lindell
Copp–Fischer–Rasmussen3:180.32–0.005:020.05–0.190:360.03–0.011:220.01–0.006:070.21–0.191:260.04–0.001:270.13–0.00
Perron–Larkin–Raymond5:050.13–0.322:050.08–0.032:190.00–0.202:310.20–0.002:230.00–0.15
Sprong–Kostin–Veleno0:440.00–0.000:480.00–0.242:460.21–0.011:020.00–0.000:520.00–0.011:200.00–0.241:370.21–0.000:400.00–0.00
Fabbri–Kostin–Veleno0:550.00–0.240:380.00–0.182:310.15–0.080:560.00–0.100:480.10–0.000:510.00–0.001:070.05–0.11
Compher–Sprong–DeBrincat2:090.14–0.230:570.00–0.361:490.00–0.360:400.00–0.061:110.14–0.09
Perron–Compher–Fabbri1:510.15–0.051:040.00–0.151:150.15–0.051:070.00–0.151:190.05–0.00
Larkin–DeBrincat–Raymond1:250.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:470.02–0.022:190.02–0.02
Compher–Fabbri–DeBrincat1:210.06–0.000:370.03–0.001:210.06–0.000:430.00–0.00
Petry–Maatta2:580.18–0.092:170.00–0.441:260.00–0.006:140.18–0.181:110.00–0.000:440.03–0.002:550.06–0.326:010.08–0.194:130.23–0.001:030.00–0.150:520.03–0.000:320.00–0.00
Holl–Gostisbehere4:290.34–0.150:340.00–0.187:390.39–0.260:530.00–0.034:050.20–0.162:510.10–0.173:520.24–0.091:310.00–0.030:530.13–0.000:320.05–0.00
Walman–Seider1:290.00–0.006:460.13–0.412:110.10–0.005:510.10–0.171:310.00–0.242:270.13–0.091:000.00–0.00
Petry–Seider0:320.00–0.240:310.00–0.070:330.00–0.08
Maatta–Seider0:470.14–0.050:520.14–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRaymond FPerron FLarkin FCopp FRasmussen FFischer FFabbri FCompher FDeBrincat FVeleno FSprong FKostin FSeider DWalman DMaatta DPetry DHoll DGostisbehere DLyon GReimer GRobertson FHintz FJohnston FBenn FPavelski FSteel FMarchment FSeguin FDuchene FDellandrea FDadonov FFaksa FHanley DHarley DHakanpää DLindell DLundkvist DSuter DOettinger G
DETDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shayne GostisbehereDET2523:370:572:5045
Esa LindellDAL2722:030:492:0008
Jani HakanpääDAL2521:430:522:3318
Dylan LarkinDET2220:340:562:5033
Ryan SuterDAL2320:170:531:2552
Thomas HarleyDAL2520:060:482:1133
J.T. CompherDET2319:230:512:0063
Lucas RaymondDET2119:180:552:3343
Olli MaattaDET2419:100:481:2322
David PerronDET2119:030:542:4232
Jeff PetryDET2418:270:461:5622
Moritz SeiderDET2518:010:431:1625
Nils LundkvistDAL2317:430:461:1841
Justin HollDET2317:250:451:2524
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2317:150:451:2224
Sam SteelDAL2116:590:491:1833
Jason RobertsonDAL2016:390:501:3132
Joel HanleyDAL2416:120:411:3423
Jake WalmanDET2415:560:401:0233
Ty DellandreaDAL1915:430:502:0041
Radek FaksaDAL1815:340:522:0041
Andrew CoppDET1915:290:491:2025
Alex DeBrincatDET1815:260:512:2542
Joe PavelskiDAL2015:060:451:2342
Daniel SprongDET1714:190:511:4623
Robby FabbriDET1614:050:531:4911
Mason MarchmentDAL1813:470:461:1524
Michael RasmussenDET1813:410:461:3124
Roope HintzDAL2113:370:391:0334
Matt DucheneDAL1813:370:451:1324
Jamie BennDAL2113:240:381:1952
Christian FischerDET1712:500:451:1824
Tyler SeguinDAL1812:470:431:1625
Evgenii DadonovDAL1612:150:461:1640
Joseph VelenoDET1311:580:551:2502
Klim KostinDET1211:260:571:2603