Tue, Jan 23, 2024·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Philadelphia Flyers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.
24%
9%
60%
PHI winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:54 | 0.11 | 26.6% | +16.1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 5 | 24:36 | 1.02 | 51.3% | +41.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 20:21 | 0.28 | 32.6% | +23.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:34 | 0.86 | 54.1% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:13 | 0.00 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.30 | 64.0% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.08 | 31.0% | +8.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:03 | 0.04 | 63.3% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:03 | 0.00 | 45.7% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:38 | 0.00 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.18 | 83.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.22 | 50.4% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.12 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.03 | 52.4% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.00 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.09 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:57 | 0.09 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:57 | 0.00 | 55.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.44 | −0.6 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 22:42 | 0.34 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:13 | 0.07 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22:07 | 0.47 | 44.1% | +25.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:40 | 0.21 | 57.0% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:19 | 0.09 | 50.4% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 20:46 | 0.37 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:42 | 0.10 | 66.5% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:45 | 0.15 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:22 | 0.18 | 50.3% | +33.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.00 | 53.1% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.08 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.01 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.00 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.02 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:10 | 0.11 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:03 | 0.07 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.18 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:00 | 0.00 | 39.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 15 | 4 | .789 | 2.01 | −2.0 | 57:38 |