Thu, Mar 7, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Calgary Flames 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 68% of the time.
23%
10%
60%
TBL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27:10 | 0.05 | 53.0% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 26:39 | 0.01 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 21:22 | 0.04 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:30 | 0.00 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.37 | 60.8% | +0.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:52 | 0.22 | 83.5% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 18:16 | 0.06 | 66.1% | +25.5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 4 | 18:11 | 0.44 | 70.9% | +58.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:04 | 0.97 | 79.4% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.02 | 38.5% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.02 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.16 | 34.9% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.25 | 65.8% | +16.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:40 | 0.11 | 36.9% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 8:41 | 0.18 | 67.0% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 8:09 | 0.32 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:57 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.14 | −0.9 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:16 | 0.09 | 64.9% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:10 | 0.33 | 46.1% | +8.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.39 | 33.4% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.21 | 56.0% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:54 | 0.08 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.01 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.01 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.21 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.00 | 57.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:16 | 0.09 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:00 | 0.35 | 52.6% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.04 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13:49 | 0.26 | 49.4% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.00 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.00 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:52 | 0.07 | 13.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 18 | 5 | .783 | 2.67 | −2.3 | 59:48 |