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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 7, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Calgary Flames 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 68% of the time.

TBL winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Backlund–Coleman–MangiapaneHuberdeau–Sharangovich–CoronatoKadri–Pelletier–KuzmenkoHunt–Rooney–DuehrKadri–Huberdeau–PelletierKylington–PachalWeegar–AnderssonHanley–AnderssonHanley–GilbertWeegar–PachalAndersson–KylingtonWeegar–HanleyHanley–PachalWeegar–KylingtonHanley–KylingtonAndersson–Pachal
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point1:000.00–0.021:580.01–0.001:380.11–0.000:390.00–0.000:360.00–0.194:130.12–0.070:310.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Paul–Sheary–Eyssimont1:330.00–0.210:330.00–0.001:480.19–0.001:280.03–0.130:480.00–0.070:580.04–0.00
Cirelli–Hagel–Chaffee4:260.02–0.463:010.00–0.260:300.02–0.000:340.00–0.20
Glendening–Motte–Sheary0:330.00–0.140:460.00–0.061:050.19–0.000:530.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:300.19–0.00
Kucherov–Point–Hagel1:540.03–0.001:000.00–0.000:370.00–0.181:490.03–0.000:330.00–0.00
Cirelli–Eyssimont–Chaffee1:210.07–0.000:490.00–0.200:320.00–0.000:470.07–0.000:510.00–0.170:370.00–0.20
Glendening–Motte–Chaffee1:260.00–0.081:380.00–0.061:000.05–0.08
Stamkos–Paul–Sheary0:370.02–0.000:530.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:300.02–0.00
Glendening–Motte–Hagel0:450.00–0.001:110.00–0.00
Kucherov–Paul–Eyssimont1:390.09–0.021:210.09–0.00
Stamkos–Cirelli–Eyssimont0:450.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Stamkos–Paul–Eyssimont0:320.03–0.000:480.17–0.000:410.17–0.000:320.03–0.00
de Haan–Cernak4:320.00–0.600:390.00–0.110:530.00–0.003:570.00–0.260:460.00–0.011:080.00–0.000:410.00–0.201:050.00–0.00
Perbix–Lilleberg1:140.00–0.263:530.16–0.001:040.00–0.171:230.10–0.131:230.00–0.001:510.09–0.000:310.00–0.170:490.00–0.130:370.00–0.00
Hedman–Crozier1:350.00–0.001:570.15–0.072:150.25–0.001:150.00–0.193:210.11–0.131:150.04–0.000:330.15–0.00
Hedman–Raddysh1:480.00–0.020:440.01–0.001:030.19–0.000:390.00–0.001:520.01–0.001:400.00–0.000:300.19–0.00
Cernak–Perbix2:410.12–0.080:340.05–0.000:570.00–0.031:060.07–0.080:440.03–0.00
de Haan–Crozier1:560.20–0.121:150.17–0.060:540.04–0.00
Raddysh–Lilleberg0:510.00–0.001:020.00–0.080:310.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:470.00–0.08
Raddysh–Cernak1:160.03–0.000:480.05–0.021:020.00–0.020:320.05–0.000:470.03–0.00
Crozier–Lilleberg0:520.00–0.050:310.00–0.00
de Haan–Perbix0:320.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHagel FChaffee FCirelli FStamkos FPoint FKucherov FGlendening FMotte FPaul FSheary FEyssimont Fde Haan DCernak DHedman DRaddysh DPerbix DLilleberg DCrozier DVasilevskiy GBacklund FColeman FMangiapane FSharangovich FHuberdeau FCoronato FPelletier FKadri FKuzmenko FRooney FDuehr FHunt FKylington DPachal DAndersson DWeegar DGilbert DHanley DMarkstrom G
TBLCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

MacKenzie WeegarCGY3527:100:471:5504
Rasmus AnderssonCGY3826:390:421:2954
Victor HedmanTBL2423:160:581:4742
Brayden PachalCGY3521:220:371:2511
Nikita KucherovTBL2421:100:532:1951
Oliver KylingtonCGY3020:300:411:2433
Anthony CirelliTBL2220:280:561:3954
Mikael BacklundCGY2819:380:421:1916
Blake ColemanCGY2618:520:441:2714
Steven StamkosTBL2218:210:501:2640
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY2218:160:501:3241
Yegor SharangovichCGY2418:110:451:1940
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2618:040:421:1915
Brandon HagelTBL2417:540:451:5645
Joel HanleyCGY2317:420:461:4331
Erik CernakTBL2417:400:442:0833
Nazem KadriCGY2017:310:531:3944
Brayden PointTBL2117:240:501:5051
Nick PerbixTBL2416:070:401:3422
Calvin de HaanTBL1715:510:562:0923
Nick PaulTBL2215:310:421:4112
Darren RaddyshTBL1815:160:511:4842
Michael EyssimontTBL2115:000:431:2103
Emil LillebergTBL2114:530:431:3323
Andrei KuzmenkoCGY1714:170:501:5541
Conor ShearyTBL2013:490:411:0321
Tyler MotteTBL1713:280:481:2824
Max CrozierTBL1512:190:491:2002
Luke GlendeningTBL1711:570:421:1524
Matt CoronatoCGY1911:570:380:5540
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL1611:520:451:2221
Jakob PelletierCGY1611:400:441:4422
Kevin RooneyCGY169:240:351:2921
Dryden HuntCGY138:410:401:1910
Walker DuehrCGY138:090:381:2320
Dennis GilbertCGY43:570:591:4100