Wed, Mar 27, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 6, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 75% of the time.
18%
68%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 23:35 | 0.32 | 52.4% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:45 | 0.04 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:11 | 0.33 | 58.9% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:46 | 0.05 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.11 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:08 | 0.01 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.00 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 16:44 | 0.22 | 45.2% | +13.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.23 | 52.0% | +10.3 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 4 | 15:30 | 1.21 | 62.7% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:08 | 0.16 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.02 | 75.0% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 14:16 | 0.23 | 66.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:17 | 0.17 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.00 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 11:26 | 0.62 | 83.2% | +29.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:51 | 0.31 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 10:35 | 0.25 | 88.1% | +29.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 2.60 | +0.6 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:16 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:53 | 0.19 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 21:38 | 0.35 | 51.9% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 21:21 | 0.08 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.15 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:03 | 0.28 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:07 | 0.12 | 49.6% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.26 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:39 | 0.08 | 49.0% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.10 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 16:08 | 0.30 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.10 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.01 | 54.6% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.08 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:39 | 0.00 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 11:10 | 0.26 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.00 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:35 | 0.25 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 9 | 5 | 4 | .556 | 0.64 | −3.4 | 8:49 | |
| – | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.96 | +2.0 | 50:14 |