Sat, Apr 13, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Washington Capitals 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
34%
WSH winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:55 | 0.09 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:19 | 0.21 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:00 | 0.53 | 34.4% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:29 | 0.00 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:28 | 0.31 | 58.0% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:01 | 0.03 | 36.5% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:49 | 0.12 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18:24 | 0.75 | 63.4% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.02 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.31 | 32.2% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.03 | 89.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.01 | 90.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.15 | 46.0% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:15 | 0.02 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:13 | 0.08 | 87.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:03 | 0.36 | 92.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.00 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:49 | 0.06 | 82.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 3.54 | −0.5 | 57:38 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27:25 | 0.32 | 43.8% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 27:06 | 0.01 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:42 | 0.02 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:28 | 0.09 | 53.4% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:16 | 0.30 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:15 | 0.49 | 64.3% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:59 | 0.63 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:52 | 0.19 | 66.7% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.17 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 15:25 | 0.25 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.00 | 69.1% | +7.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.32 | 69.2% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.14 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.24 | 38.5% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:17 | 0.00 | 9.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:33 | 0.00 | 21.8% | +17.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 10:08 | 0.38 | 50.1% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:00 | 0.00 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 3.08 | +1.1 | 60:00 |