Sat, Apr 13, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.
66%
8%
20%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24:51 | 0.31 | 59.2% | +72.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:46 | 0.00 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:49 | 0.02 | 51.8% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:58 | 0.03 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:10 | 0.20 | 57.0% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:45 | 0.36 | 55.7% | +17.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:12 | 0.37 | 57.0% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:25 | 0.16 | 35.1% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.16 | 40.3% | +55.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.23 | 35.2% | +65.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.05 | 39.4% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.18 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.00 | 37.6% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.01 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:47 | 0.02 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:54 | 0.14 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:54 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 3.64 | −0.4 | 60:41 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 0 | 24:12 | 0.00 | 38.2% | +32.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 10 | 23:59 | 1.34 | 58.7% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 21:55 | 0.34 | 69.3% | +56.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 21:37 | 0.37 | 82.6% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:16 | 0.07 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.07 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:36 | 0.04 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.15 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:44 | 0.77 | 56.2% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.00 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:53 | 0.05 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:14 | 0.02 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 13:21 | 0.12 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:04 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.06 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:52 | 0.18 | 70.2% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:17 | 0.07 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:10 | 0.00 | 32.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 27 | 5 | .844 | 2.23 | −2.8 | 59:57 |