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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 13, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Dylan LarkinC · #711120524:510.3159.2%+72.6
Moritz SeiderD · #530000123:460.0042.8%0.0
Jeff PetryD · #46011+2121:490.0251.8%+16.7
Ben ChiarotD · #80000220:580.0337.9%0.0
Simon EdvinssonD · #77101+1320:100.2057.0%+16.7
Lucas RaymondLW · #230110419:450.3655.7%+17.4
Alex DeBrincatRW · #932020619:120.3757.0%+33.0
J.T. CompherLW · #37022+1118:250.1635.1%+25.5
Shayne GostisbehereD · #410110117:330.1640.3%+55.1
Patrick KaneRW · #88022+1316:530.2335.2%+65.0
Joseph VelenoC · #900000016:180.0044.9%0.0
David PerronLW · #57112+1216:030.0539.4%+26.6
Christian FischerRW · #360000215:330.1849.8%0.0
Robby FabbriC · #140110014:260.0037.6%+15.6
Olli MaattaD · #2000−1012:540.0142.5%0.0
Daniel SprongRW · #17000017:470.0246.4%0.0
Austin CzarnikC · #21000006:540.1446.4%0.0
Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #11000003:540.0057.3%0.0
James Reimer#47W36324.8893.64−0.460:41

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44022−2024:120.0038.2%+32.4
Auston MatthewsC · #34101−21023:591.3458.7%+15.7
Mitch MarnerRW · #16123+1421:550.3469.3%+56.0
William NylanderRW · #88011−1521:370.3782.6%+16.7
TJ BrodieD · #78000−2121:160.0748.7%0.0
Timothy LiljegrenD · #37000−1220:010.0742.1%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #2000+2019:360.0469.2%0.0
Tyler BertuzziLW · #59000−2119:270.1557.7%0.0
John TavaresC · #91101+1518:440.7756.2%+23.6
Ilya LyubushkinD · #460000017:160.0065.5%0.0
Max DomiC · #11000−2116:530.0540.6%0.0
Jake McCabeD · #22000+1014:140.0253.5%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #23000+2213:210.1244.9%0.0
David KampfC · #640000012:040.0028.0%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #290000111:110.0670.1%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #891010310:520.1870.2%+9.1
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000018:170.0729.4%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #74000004:100.0032.4%0.0
Ilya Samsonov#35O32275.8442.23−2.859:57