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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 13, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Larkin–DeBrincat–RaymondFabbri–Fischer–VelenoPerron–Kane–CompherSprong–Czarnik–Aston-ReeseFischer–Czarnik–VelenoPetry–EdvinssonChiarot–SeiderMaatta–GostisbeherePetry–Seider
Bertuzzi–Domi–Matthews2:560.03–0.123:030.03–0.004:250.23–0.121:140.00–0.004:290.03–0.127:380.15–0.091:020.00–0.030:310.11–0.14
Reaves–Kampf–Knies1:050.00–0.202:080.07–0.181:290.00–0.161:290.00–0.220:470.00–0.143:580.14–0.18
Nylander–Holmberg–Robertson0:580.01–0.013:100.08–0.001:060.13–0.001:090.00–0.101:390.06–0.002:320.08–0.00
Tavares–Nylander–Marner1:430.11–0.021:490.00–0.002:210.11–0.001:590.00–0.02
Tavares–Marner–Knies1:480.17–0.071:080.01–0.001:590.01–0.010:320.17–0.000:420.00–0.06
Tavares–Marner–McMann1:180.07–0.051:040.01–0.061:270.08–0.111:080.01–0.00
Holmberg–Robertson–Knies0:350.00–0.00
Rielly–Lyubushkin2:420.00–0.012:440.00–0.181:530.20–0.140:370.00–0.024:480.20–0.171:380.00–0.002:520.00–0.18
Brodie–Liljegren1:510.08–0.302:060.02–0.001:100.12–0.041:210.00–0.142:060.07–0.242:060.01–0.184:480.09–0.06
McCabe–Benoit2:220.02–0.081:420.11–0.001:520.17–0.062:540.02–0.222:290.01–0.001:210.11–0.03
Rielly–Liljegren1:460.02–0.020:560.00–0.001:440.09–0.000:490.00–0.002:190.02–0.002:390.10–0.02
Lyubushkin–Benoit1:320.23–0.030:440.06–0.000:380.07–0.002:040.23–0.03
Liljegren–Benoit1:000.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:390.00–0.001:350.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Brodie–McCabe0:410.00–0.020:460.00–0.001:450.00–0.02
Brodie–Rielly0:350.00–0.000:350.06–0.010:580.00–0.070:570.06–0.01
Brodie–Benoit0:300.00–0.000:460.05–0.041:160.05–0.04
Brodie–Lyubushkin0:520.09–0.000:350.09–0.000:470.09–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndMarner FMcMann FTavares FDomi FMatthews FBertuzzi FHolmberg FNylander FRobertson FKnies FKampf FReaves FBenoit DMcCabe DRielly DLyubushkin DBrodie DLiljegren DSamsonov GRaymond FLarkin FDeBrincat FCompher FKane FPerron FFabbri FVeleno FFischer FAston-Reese FCzarnik FSprong FChiarot DSeider DPetry DEdvinsson DGostisbehere DMaatta DReimer G
TORDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dylan LarkinDET3224:510:471:3158
Morgan RiellyTOR3224:120:452:30102
Auston MatthewsTOR2523:590:583:3362
Moritz SeiderDET2723:460:532:1219
Mitch MarnerTOR2721:550:492:3855
Jeff PetryDET2821:490:471:1721
William NylanderTOR2521:370:522:3561
TJ BrodieTOR2821:160:461:1632
Ben ChiarotDET2820:580:452:11010
Simon EdvinssonDET2820:100:431:1221
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2820:010:431:1791
Lucas RaymondDET2619:450:461:2654
Simon BenoitTOR3019:360:390:5813
Tyler BertuzziTOR2619:270:451:1262
Alex DeBrincatDET2719:120:431:1734
John TavaresTOR2318:440:492:2842
J.T. CompherDET2518:250:441:3515
Shayne GostisbehereDET2317:330:461:5260
Ilya LyubushkinTOR3117:160:330:5715
Max DomiTOR2416:530:421:2961
Patrick KaneDET2616:530:391:1934
Joseph VelenoDET2316:180:431:4511
David PerronDET2416:030:401:1043
Christian FischerDET2115:330:441:4812
Robby FabbriDET2014:260:431:4811
Jake McCabeTOR2014:140:431:1014
Matthew KniesTOR1913:210:421:1613
Olli MaattaDET1812:540:431:4830
David KampfTOR1612:040:451:1302
Pontus HolmbergTOR1511:110:451:2130
Nick RobertsonTOR1610:520:411:0430
Ryan ReavesTOR128:170:411:0111
Daniel SprongDET117:470:421:0310
Austin CzarnikDET116:540:380:5910
Bobby McMannTOR54:100:501:1501
Zachary Aston-ReeseDET83:540:290:3910