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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 27, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Calgary Flames 1, Detroit Red Wings 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.

DET winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Backlund–Sharangovich–CoronatoColeman–Huberdeau–ZaryKadri–Pospisil–KuzmenkoKirkland–Lomberg–RooneyKadri–Huberdeau–PospisilKadri–Coleman–PospisilColeman–Lomberg–ZaryAndersson–BahlWeegar–MiromanovHanley–PachalBahl–Pachal
Copp–Fischer–Rasmussen7:410.59–0.130:320.00–0.170:360.00–0.022:050.10–0.004:150.39–0.023:030.12–0.170:350.00–0.05
Tarasenko–Larkin–Raymond0:380.00–0.001:260.00–0.053:470.36–0.181:220.11–0.001:060.00–0.004:510.49–0.052:150.10–0.141:420.03–0.000:300.00–0.05
Veleno–Berggren–Kasper0:430.00–0.002:010.01–0.111:240.00–0.002:070.05–0.002:360.01–0.062:270.05–0.061:430.12–0.00
Motte–Compher–DeBrincat3:530.00–0.101:060.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:450.00–0.003:100.00–0.001:560.00–0.09
Tarasenko–Berggren–Kasper1:100.00–0.000:520.00–0.031:590.24–0.03
Larkin–DeBrincat–Raymond1:400.00–0.040:430.01–0.001:370.01–0.040:390.00–0.00
Motte–Compher–Veleno0:500.00–0.001:140.00–0.03
Seider–Edvinsson3:410.07–0.093:210.00–0.164:460.28–0.131:240.00–0.034:560.13–0.154:400.05–0.024:420.11–0.120:420.00–0.05
Petry–Chiarot3:530.28–0.054:130.01–0.222:450.23–0.040:450.00–0.000:320.00–0.015:230.32–0.043:350.20–0.053:550.03–0.170:400.00–0.05
Holl–Johansson1:490.12–0.000:570.00–0.004:020.16–0.050:300.00–0.002:270.07–0.004:090.24–0.031:150.03–0.00
Chiarot–Seider0:500.03–0.000:360.01–0.000:520.01–0.000:570.06–0.00
Chiarot–Johansson0:430.00–0.080:430.00–0.08
Petry–Seider0:550.00–0.051:010.01–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndCopp FRasmussen FFischer FRaymond FLarkin FTarasenko FMotte FCompher FDeBrincat FKasper FVeleno FBerggren FChiarot DPetry DEdvinsson DSeider DJohansson DHoll DTalbot GBacklund FSharangovich FCoronato FKadri FPospisil FKuzmenko FZary FHuberdeau FColeman FRooney FLomberg FKirkland FWeegar DMiromanov DBahl DAndersson DPachal DHanley DVladar G
DETCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET3127:290:532:1674
Rasmus AnderssonCGY3225:470:481:3854
MacKenzie WeegarCGY3224:170:461:4238
Simon EdvinssonDET2623:520:551:5734
Ben ChiarotDET2923:140:481:5424
Kevin BahlCGY3023:140:461:3835
Jeff PetryDET2922:180:461:4524
Nazem KadriCGY2420:570:521:2760
Dylan LarkinDET2720:270:451:2672
Lucas RaymondDET2620:040:461:2963
Yegor SharangovichCGY2519:240:471:1954
Mikael BacklundCGY2718:400:411:1458
Martin PospisilCGY2318:390:491:2170
Daniil MiromanovCGY2518:150:441:2127
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY2318:140:481:3233
Matt CoronatoCGY2318:050:471:2344
Connor ZaryCGY2017:110:521:2721
Michael RasmussenDET2516:510:401:3252
Blake ColemanCGY2015:480:471:4523
J.T. CompherDET2215:440:431:2818
Brayden PachalCGY2115:280:441:3101
Andrei KuzmenkoCGY1815:250:511:4251
Alex DeBrincatDET2015:240:461:1763
Vladimir TarasenkoDET2015:160:461:2232
Christian FischerDET2115:070:432:0532
Tyler MotteDET2014:160:431:1615
Justin HollDET1913:590:441:1641
Andrew CoppDET2113:320:391:2333
Marco KasperDET1713:180:471:2140
Joel HanleyCGY1811:560:401:1410
Jonatan BerggrenDET1411:380:501:2020
Joseph VelenoDET1310:390:491:2330
Albert JohanssonDET1410:140:441:1641
Kevin RooneyCGY169:140:351:0016
Justin KirklandCGY137:560:371:1011
Ryan LombergCGY127:530:391:2202