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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 7, 2024·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Nashville Predators 1, Ottawa Senators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 56% of the time.

OTT winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Nyquist–ForsbergJankowski–Novak–EvangelistaSissons–McCarron–SmithMarchessault–L'Heureux–SvechkovMarchessault–Novak–EvangelistaStamkos–Nyquist–SmithJankowski–Sissons–McCarronMarchessault–Forsberg–SvechkovJosi–CarrierSchenn–WilsbySkjei–BlankenburgWilsby–BlankenburgSchenn–SkjeiJosi–SkjeiJosi–WilsbyJosi–BlankenburgSchenn–Josi
Cousins–Amadio–Pinto1:000.00–0.004:590.01–0.662:010.31–0.002:310.14–0.000:390.23–0.006:070.46–0.132:330.01–0.120:300.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:170.23–0.000:480.00–0.150:420.00–0.000:350.00–0.27
Norris–Batherson–Tkachuk7:010.62–0.261:550.04–0.251:550.00–0.024:560.60–0.050:370.00–0.000:360.52–0.00
Gregor–Greig–Ostapchuk0:300.00–0.002:590.12–0.291:350.00–0.021:090.00–0.000:300.04–0.011:290.00–0.004:150.07–0.151:300.00–0.000:410.00–0.10
Giroux–Gaudette–Stützle2:120.07–0.101:150.11–0.222:080.09–0.040:410.00–0.031:120.27–0.041:290.00–0.002:000.09–0.121:190.11–0.030:480.07–0.22
Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle1:170.00–0.441:020.00–0.40
Gregor–Greig–Stützle0:420.01–0.00
Jensen–Chabot5:060.32–0.202:020.00–0.392:570.09–0.081:580.00–0.040:420.23–0.002:140.13–0.264:480.04–0.135:580.28–0.122:230.00–0.050:420.01–0.000:510.23–0.000:320.00–0.000:440.00–0.27
Bernard-Docker–Kleven3:410.18–0.272:080.12–0.001:240.07–0.021:030.00–0.005:030.00–0.002:440.03–0.160:480.00–0.000:400.00–0.001:150.00–0.15
Hamonic–Sanderson2:480.20–0.471:220.08–0.051:210.43–0.222:420.07–0.040:330.00–0.003:140.61–0.072:450.03–0.001:560.25–0.500:310.11–0.000:550.00–0.001:130.07–0.290:320.52–0.04
Kleven–Sanderson0:490.00–0.000:340.12–0.000:560.12–0.000:490.00–0.00
Jensen–Kleven0:420.00–0.10
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPinto FCousins FAmadio FTkachuk FNorris FBatherson FStützle FGiroux FGaudette FOstapchuk FGreig FGregor FBernard-Docker DKleven DJensen DChabot DSanderson DHamonic DUllmark GSissons FSmith FMcCarron FForsberg FNyquist FStamkos FMarchessault FSvechkov FL'Heureux FJankowski FEvangelista FNovak FCarrier DJosi DSkjei DBlankenburg DSchenn DWilsby DSaros G
OTTNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH2726:040:582:0780
Nick JensenOTT2723:090:511:5545
Jake SandersonOTT2422:400:572:3835
Thomas ChabotOTT2722:220:501:5354
Brady SkjeiNSH2820:290:441:1412
Brady TkachukOTT2419:210:481:5035
Gustav NyquistNSH2219:000:521:5742
Drake BathersonOTT2418:350:461:5335
Adam WilsbyNSH2418:240:461:3413
Josh NorrisOTT2518:200:441:5026
Nick BlankenburgNSH2518:120:441:1204
Shane PintoOTT2817:560:381:0928
Luke SchennNSH2617:490:411:0613
Filip ForsbergNSH2217:480:491:4652
Tyler KlevenOTT2517:410:421:5532
Nick CousinsOTT2417:210:431:1417
Michael AmadioOTT2617:140:401:1217
Tim StützleOTT2316:330:431:4771
Luke EvangelistaNSH1916:210:521:2233
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH2115:530:451:2490
Steven StamkosNSH2315:470:411:0972
Alexandre CarrierNSH1715:390:551:2930
Travis HamonicOTT2315:200:401:2815
Mark JankowskiNSH2014:450:441:4525
Fedor SvechkovNSH1914:160:451:1150
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT2314:080:371:4732
Tommy NovakNSH1713:540:491:2123
Ridly GreigOTT2213:400:371:0330
Colton SissonsNSH2113:220:381:1913
Cole SmithNSH1913:100:421:1502
Zachary L'HeureuxNSH1912:380:401:1560
Michael McCarronNSH1812:360:421:1601
Claude GirouxOTT2212:080:331:2243
Noah GregorOTT2011:460:351:0931
Zack OstapchukOTT1710:200:361:2130
Adam GaudetteOTT189:310:321:2441