Thu, Dec 12, 2024·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Tampa Bay Lightning 8, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.
10%
78%
CGY winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:57 | 0.00 | 74.7% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 23:38 | 0.10 | 67.5% | +14.3 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:25 | 0.00 | 38.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:19 | 0.06 | 69.3% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.13 | 47.2% | +63.2 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 18:30 | 0.45 | 41.9% | +26.4 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 18:17 | 0.41 | 41.9% | +25.1 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.49 | 87.9% | +17.1 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:19 | 0.03 | 20.3% | 0.0 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.08 | 22.8% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.53 | 87.9% | +26.3 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:06 | 0.00 | 20.5% | 0.0 |
 Conor GeekieC · #14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 12:53 | 0.48 | 86.9% | +0.5 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.06 | 52.7% | +22.1 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.06 | 87.5% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.09 | 93.6% | 0.0 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.19 | 91.2% | 0.0 |
 Steven SantiniD · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.04 | 68.3% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 1.23 | −1.8 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:33 | 0.05 | 36.5% | 0.0 |
 Kevin BahlD · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:25 | 0.10 | 39.3% | +8.5 |
 Daniil MiromanovD · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.01 | 16.0% | 0.0 |
 MacKenzie WeegarD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.02 | 9.8% | 0.0 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 18:43 | 0.20 | 38.1% | +18.8 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.03 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.14 | 38.0% | +8.5 |
 Jake BeanD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:01 | 0.13 | 55.1% | 0.0 |
 Blake ColemanLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:33 | 0.27 | 42.5% | +16.3 |
 Brayden PachalD · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.02 | 59.5% | 0.0 |
 Matt CoronatoRW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.04 | 50.3% | 0.0 |
 Martin PospisilC · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.02 | 38.7% | 0.0 |
 Yegor SharangovichC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.00 | 21.1% | 0.0 |
 Andrei KuzmenkoLW · #96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.00 | 23.3% | 0.0 |
 Connor ZaryC · #47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.09 | 26.1% | +16.3 |
 Kevin RooneyC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 0.0 |
 Walker DuehrRW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:48 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 |
 Ryan LombergLW · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:50 | 0.11 | 37.7% | 0.0 |
 Dan Vladar#80 | L | 26 | 18 | 8 | .692 | 3.20 | −4.8 | 60:00 |