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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 12, 2024·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Tampa Bay Lightning 8, Calgary Flames 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

CGY winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Guentzel–PointPaul–Chaffee–GoncalvesCirelli–Hagel–GeekieGlendening–Girgensons–EyssimontPerbix–LillebergMcDonagh–SantiniRaddysh–MoserMcDonagh–RaddyshMcDonagh–PerbixRaddysh–LillebergMcDonagh–MoserSantini–Lilleberg
Kadri–Huberdeau–Pospisil3:030.03–0.113:130.28–0.003:540.12–0.311:280.00–0.171:480.04–0.112:160.11–0.001:150.00–0.004:510.01–0.222:140.16–0.241:260.13–0.00
Backlund–Sharangovich–Coronato1:510.04–0.041:370.00–0.013:150.01–0.284:520.08–0.050:300.00–0.002:190.05–0.27
Coleman–Zary–Kuzmenko1:400.19–0.000:530.00–0.514:330.02–0.023:370.11–0.001:320.00–0.001:530.01–0.000:400.02–0.51
Lomberg–Rooney–Duehr1:360.15–0.092:270.00–0.122:030.00–0.040:310.00–0.082:110.00–0.071:090.15–0.060:580.00–0.010:440.00–0.00
Sharangovich–Zary–Kuzmenko0:500.00–0.001:230.00–0.000:510.00–0.091:000.00–0.071:440.00–0.001:070.00–0.100:310.00–0.061:050.00–0.00
Backlund–Coleman–Coronato1:020.10–0.000:590.11–0.000:500.01–0.001:350.11–0.000:310.01–0.040:370.00–0.000:370.10–0.000:520.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Kadri–Coleman–Huberdeau0:360.00–0.050:400.02–0.000:360.00–0.050:540.02–0.00
Andersson–Bahl7:430.26–0.233:100.24–0.032:320.00–0.651:330.00–0.086:100.27–0.082:470.00–0.211:430.05–0.091:400.00–0.001:280.03–0.591:480.09–0.001:440.13–0.000:470.00–0.00
Weegar–Miromanov1:450.04–0.101:550.00–0.016:340.04–0.532:470.00–0.004:120.02–0.081:450.01–0.004:110.00–0.232:120.01–0.220:400.00–0.001:310.04–0.101:040.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Bean–Pachal1:010.15–0.065:340.17–0.081:510.11–0.004:050.02–0.192:520.04–0.083:540.11–0.001:380.15–0.061:590.01–0.002:210.14–0.171:110.00–0.000:390.02–0.00
Bean–Miromanov1:070.01–0.060:400.00–0.00
Bahl–Miromanov0:560.06–0.000:400.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHuberdeau FPospisil FKadri FBacklund FSharangovich FCoronato FColeman FZary FKuzmenko FLomberg FRooney FDuehr FWeegar DMiromanov DAndersson DBahl DBean DPachal DVladar GGeekie FHagel FCirelli FPoint FGuentzel FKucherov FChaffee FPaul FGoncalves FGlendening FEyssimont FGirgensons FRaddysh DMoser DMcDonagh DSantini DPerbix DLilleberg DVasilevskiy G
CGYTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan McDonaghTBL3124:570:481:3806
Darren RaddyshTBL2823:380:512:0072
Rasmus AnderssonCGY2923:330:491:1825
Kevin BahlCGY2923:250:481:1515
Emil LillebergTBL3022:250:451:2252
Nick PerbixTBL2921:190:441:1423
Daniil MiromanovCGY2819:470:421:1922
Nikita KucherovTBL2419:110:482:0051
MacKenzie WeegarCGY2918:530:391:2032
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY2518:430:451:1951
Mikael BacklundCGY2418:410:471:2125
Brayden PointTBL2318:300:482:0062
Nazem KadriCGY2418:190:461:1751
Jake GuentzelTBL2318:170:482:0062
Jake BeanCGY2618:010:421:1521
Brandon HagelTBL2117:370:502:5436
Blake ColemanCGY2016:330:501:2012
Brayden PachalCGY2516:280:401:0821
Nick PaulTBL2216:190:451:1624
Matt CoronatoCGY2115:540:451:2522
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL1915:380:491:2722
Anthony CirelliTBL2215:320:421:1517
Martin PospisilCGY2315:200:400:5951
Yegor SharangovichCGY2115:090:431:1822
Andrei KuzmenkoCGY1815:010:501:2220
Connor ZaryCGY1814:370:491:1920
Gage GoncalvesTBL2014:060:421:2521
Conor GeekieTBL2012:530:391:3013
J.J. MoserTBL1612:230:461:0324
Luke GlendeningTBL2112:050:350:5816
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL1611:490:441:0411
Michael EyssimontTBL1611:440:440:5911
Steven SantiniTBL1811:370:391:0302
Kevin RooneyCGY1310:520:501:2114
Walker DuehrCGY118:480:481:0211
Ryan LombergCGY107:500:471:0212