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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 18, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Philadelphia Flyers 4, Detroit Red Wings 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 77% of the time.

DET winsPHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Cates–Brink–FoersterTippett–Frost–MichkovCouturier–Konecny–FarabeeLaughton–Hathaway–PoehlingKonecny–Frost–MichkovLaughton–Tippett–FarabeeCouturier–Hathaway–PoehlingLaughton–Konecny–PoehlingRistolainen–ZamulaSeeler–DrysdaleSanheim–YorkSanheim–DrysdaleSanheim–ZamulaSeeler–RistolainenSeeler–SanheimRistolainen–SanheimRistolainen–Drysdale
Tarasenko–Larkin–Raymond4:240.00–0.002:180.00–0.051:340.12–0.000:350.00–0.000:330.00–0.004:190.12–0.002:050.00–0.002:570.00–0.051:270.05–0.000:450.00–0.00
Motte–Compher–Rasmussen2:020.00–0.050:460.02–0.002:460.05–0.230:360.00–0.002:040.00–0.081:180.00–0.000:330.00–0.002:230.00–0.233:490.12–0.091:320.02–0.002:240.00–0.081:110.00–0.00
Kane–Copp–DeBrincat2:030.17–0.173:050.17–0.080:490.00–0.110:380.01–0.111:390.00–0.111:090.00–0.491:410.31–0.001:080.04–0.061:040.00–0.110:580.00–0.05
Fischer–Veleno–Kasper0:400.00–0.104:410.53–0.000:400.00–0.211:020.04–0.001:430.09–0.001:350.10–0.001:560.11–0.101:130.04–0.210:400.02–0.000:350.23–0.00
Fischer–Rasmussen–Veleno1:160.00–0.001:030.00–0.00
Chiarot–Seider1:220.00–0.002:350.06–0.022:420.05–0.133:130.00–0.082:140.00–0.313:020.00–0.132:460.00–0.351:420.02–0.003:030.04–0.080:320.05–0.000:430.00–0.001:010.00–0.02
Petry–Chiarot1:240.00–0.003:080.00–0.001:320.00–0.003:040.12–0.001:260.00–0.001:100.04–0.34
Holl–Gustafsson1:500.19–0.173:210.17–0.001:220.01–0.002:470.05–0.000:470.01–0.171:420.29–0.000:440.00–0.000:470.05–0.001:030.03–0.00
Petry–Holl2:250.00–0.050:400.00–0.061:080.12–0.000:550.00–0.071:560.12–0.001:000.00–0.050:390.00–0.061:100.00–0.070:330.00–0.00
Seider–Edvinsson0:310.00–0.101:190.00–0.110:390.00–0.000:560.00–0.000:340.00–0.111:260.00–0.001:300.00–0.10
Petry–Gustafsson1:330.00–0.001:040.09–0.001:160.09–0.000:330.00–0.00
Chiarot–Holl0:510.13–0.000:510.13–0.00
Gustafsson–Seider0:580.00–0.11
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFischer FVeleno FKasper FCompher FMotte FRasmussen FCopp FKane FDeBrincat FLarkin FTarasenko FRaymond FHoll DGustafsson DEdvinsson DChiarot DPetry DSeider DLyon GHathaway FLaughton FPoehling FFarabee FCouturier FKonecny FBrink FCates FFoerster FTippett FMichkov FFrost FSanheim DYork DRistolainen DZamula DDrysdale DSeeler DErsson G
DETPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ben ChiarotDET2629:141:072:4333
Moritz SeiderDET2828:021:002:2844
Travis SanheimPHI3024:170:491:4421
Jamie DrysdalePHI2522:090:531:4120
Travis KonecnyPHI2120:390:592:4531
Rasmus RistolainenPHI2620:240:471:1925
Jeff PetryDET2320:000:521:4923
J.T. CompherDET2419:320:491:5344
Matvei MichkovPHI1919:121:012:4222
Egor ZamulaPHI2218:590:521:2232
Dylan LarkinDET2318:580:491:3013
Michael RasmussenDET2218:250:501:5733
Lucas RaymondDET2217:520:491:2423
Nick SeelerPHI2717:380:391:1513
Owen TippettPHI1817:150:582:3012
Justin HollDET2417:140:431:2531
Vladimir TarasenkoDET1816:170:541:4011
Tyson FoersterPHI2216:150:441:0621
Sean CouturierPHI1815:510:532:3912
Erik GustafssonDET2115:300:441:2240
Tyler MotteDET1914:490:471:5034
Morgan FrostPHI1614:150:531:3211
Andrew CoppDET1814:080:471:4130
Joel FarabeePHI1813:550:461:2121
Noah CatesPHI2113:480:390:5721
Scott LaughtonPHI1713:200:471:4311
Ryan PoehlingPHI1713:170:471:5203
Marco KasperDET1813:010:431:1230
Cam YorkPHI1712:490:451:4002
Patrick KaneDET1712:480:451:3920
Christian FischerDET1712:470:451:1220
Joseph VelenoDET1612:090:461:1220
Alex DeBrincatDET1611:560:451:1730
Bobby BrinkPHI1711:550:421:3231
Garnet HathawayPHI1611:230:431:1403
Simon EdvinssonDET65:360:561:3210