Sun, Dec 29, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Montréal Canadiens 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 68% of the time.
23%
9%
61%
TBL winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 25:06 | 0.05 | 60.5% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:10 | 0.08 | 34.0% | +25.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:56 | 0.00 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:34 | 0.02 | 26.9% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.13 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.11 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:27 | 0.05 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:10 | 0.45 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:29 | 0.15 | 43.1% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.00 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.38 | 41.3% | +17.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:00 | 0.42 | 81.5% | +24.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 13:54 | 0.31 | 74.1% | +30.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.22 | 81.4% | +0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.23 | 70.8% | +17.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:00 | 1.00 | 81.2% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11:57 | 0.16 | 80.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:52 | 0.07 | 65.7% | +13.5 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.70 | +0.7 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 26:05 | 0.50 | 54.8% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:18 | 0.06 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:22 | 0.36 | 53.5% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:44 | 0.41 | 57.0% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.13 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:08 | 0.14 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:14 | 0.00 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.16 | 46.9% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 16:52 | 0.03 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.10 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.01 | 6.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.11 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.24 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.06 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:40 | 0.07 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:57 | 0.11 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:57 | 0.20 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:27 | 0.00 | 24.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 3.00 | −1.0 | 59:02 |