Tue, Jan 28, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 71% of the time.
64%
21%
TBL winsCHI wins
Chicago Blackhawks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 25:30 | 0.07 | 36.4% | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:46 | 0.07 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:41 | 0.69 | 40.7% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:34 | 0.02 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:23 | 0.00 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.00 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.06 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.21 | 44.4% | +0.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.44 | 45.3% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.09 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.05 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.04 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.64 | 30.9% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:33 | 0.00 | 47.6% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.03 | 36.9% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 11:30 | 0.13 | 41.2% | +27.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:58 | 0.10 | 46.2% | +27.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.09 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 34 | 1 | .971 | 4.05 | +3.0 | 59:38 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 25:02 | 0.03 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:19 | 0.22 | 86.1% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:35 | 0.04 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 21:36 | 0.83 | 80.4% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:36 | 0.41 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:31 | 0.34 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:06 | 0.66 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.09 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.21 | 90.6% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.02 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:33 | 0.05 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.20 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:12 | 0.20 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:47 | 0.71 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:18 | 0.01 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:33 | 0.03 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:47 | 0.00 | 16.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 2.01 | −1.0 | 56:44 |