Skip to content
Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 3, 2025·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Ottawa Senators 5, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 85% of the time.

NSH winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Giroux–Tkachuk–StützleGiroux–Tkachuk–GreigAmadio–Reinhardt–PintoPerron–Batherson–GreigPerron–Amadio–StützleHighmore–Batherson–PintoHighmore–Gaudette–OstapchukPerron–Amadio–OstapchukPerron–Batherson–StützleGaudette–Batherson–StützleAmadio–Highmore–StützleSanderson–ZubHamonic–ChabotKleven–MatinpaloChabot–Zub
Sissons–McCarron–Smith2:020.07–0.061:330.01–0.290:360.03–0.051:020.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:330.00–0.051:170.00–0.273:370.03–0.001:460.07–0.06
O'Reilly–Forsberg–Hinostroza1:020.20–0.040:380.00–0.000:540.04–0.020:320.01–0.001:410.20–0.332:070.00–0.161:120.05–0.01
Novak–L'Heureux–Svechkov1:140.01–0.000:310.00–0.001:190.01–0.181:310.01–0.002:240.01–0.38
Stamkos–Nyquist–Marchessault0:490.04–0.020:430.00–0.000:440.00–0.120:350.00–0.002:150.10–0.121:260.06–0.02
O'Reilly–Marchessault–Forsberg1:110.06–0.000:400.00–0.001:250.01–0.351:560.11–0.340:410.00–0.03
Hinostroza–Novak–Svechkov0:390.01–0.001:240.01–0.000:470.00–0.00
Stamkos–Marchessault–Forsberg0:560.11–0.020:340.00–0.00
Gravel–Wilsby1:270.06–0.000:390.00–0.221:310.03–0.051:070.18–0.021:280.00–0.001:270.01–0.183:000.01–0.224:300.21–0.021:590.06–0.25
Schenn–Josi1:370.20–0.072:060.00–0.000:410.00–0.120:370.00–0.000:540.00–0.054:290.26–0.251:060.00–0.032:070.00–0.010:560.05–0.00
Skjei–Blankenburg1:500.01–0.001:450.06–0.061:190.00–0.142:110.00–0.273:440.13–0.021:380.01–0.01
Josi–Wilsby0:490.00–0.000:570.02–0.001:490.13–0.001:310.00–0.161:420.00–0.03
Schenn–Gravel0:320.00–0.000:400.01–0.000:300.03–0.001:540.00–0.081:430.01–0.12
Josi–Blankenburg1:160.00–0.000:450.00–0.010:420.01–0.082:180.05–0.35
Skjei–Wilsby0:300.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:370.00–0.290:590.00–0.01
Josi–Skjei
Wilsby–Blankenburg0:320.04–0.000:320.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSvechkov FL'Heureux FNovak FForsberg FO'Reilly FHinostroza FNyquist FMarchessault FStamkos FSmith FMcCarron FSissons FGravel DWilsby DJosi DSchenn DSkjei DBlankenburg DSaros GPinto FAmadio FReinhardt FStützle FGiroux FTkachuk FBatherson FPerron FGreig FGaudette FOstapchuk FHighmore FZub DSanderson DChabot DHamonic DMatinpalo DKleven DForsberg G
NSHOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake SandersonOTT3224:500:471:5063
Roman JosiNSH2722:590:512:1333
Adam WilsbyNSH2822:360:481:5123
Thomas ChabotOTT2922:240:461:2236
Artem ZubOTT2822:100:481:4733
Tim StützleOTT2721:300:481:4760
Brady TkachukOTT2620:500:481:3681
Claude GirouxOTT2719:280:431:1882
Drake BathersonOTT2519:230:471:4872
Filip ForsbergNSH2419:220:481:1464
Kevin GravelNSH2519:200:461:5122
Nick BlankenburgNSH2719:170:431:2629
Brady SkjeiNSH2418:140:461:4617
Shane PintoOTT2817:550:381:3336
Travis HamonicOTT2617:340:411:1346
Ryan O'ReillyNSH2217:150:471:1773
Ridly GreigOTT2517:060:411:1246
Cole SmithNSH2316:410:441:5117
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH2116:110:461:2942
Michael McCarronNSH2016:020:481:5125
Gustav NyquistNSH2215:150:421:1312
Michael AmadioOTT2115:080:431:1213
David PerronOTT2314:440:381:0613
Luke SchennNSH2114:310:411:2602
Steven StamkosNSH2014:200:431:3542
Matthew HighmoreOTT2513:490:330:5724
Colton SissonsNSH2113:370:391:5116
Tyler KlevenOTT2113:180:381:1043
Tommy NovakNSH1612:350:471:0640
Nikolas MatinpaloOTT2112:160:351:0842
Vinnie HinostrozaNSH1712:070:431:1722
Fedor SvechkovNSH1712:050:431:4531
Adam GaudetteOTT1811:130:371:4730
Zachary L'HeureuxNSH149:280:411:3321
Zack OstapchukOTT147:560:340:5533
Cole ReinhardtOTT85:260:410:5002