Sun, Feb 9, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Montréal Canadiens 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 74% of the time.
67%
19%
MTL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 23:50 | 0.27 | 16.3% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 23:12 | 0.28 | 18.3% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 22:10 | 0.03 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 20:52 | 0.04 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.78 | 31.2% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:43 | 0.22 | 30.8% | +18.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:22 | 0.47 | 31.9% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:22 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.28 | 16.0% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.06 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.34 | 38.9% | +13.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.32 | 37.1% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:43 | 0.00 | 8.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:37 | 0.00 | 58.3% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.00 | 49.1% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:49 | 0.09 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 4.83 | +1.8 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23:31 | 0.30 | 79.3% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:23 | 0.09 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:05 | 0.06 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 20:49 | 0.86 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:26 | 0.32 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.06 | 83.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.00 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:00 | 0.11 | 73.1% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.17 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.17 | 53.5% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 15:25 | 1.26 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:43 | 0.45 | 64.6% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.19 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.13 | 69.7% | +8.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:50 | 0.31 | 61.4% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:13 | 0.04 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:01 | 0.16 | 91.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.14 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 12 | 11 | 1 | .917 | 1.55 | +0.5 | 37:22 | |
| – | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 0.86 | −2.1 | 21:05 |