Sun, Feb 9, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Montréal Canadiens 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 74% of the time.
67%
19%
MTL winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
MTL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Paul–Point–Hagel | Guentzel–Cirelli–Goncalves | Atkinson–Girgensons–Eyssimont | Glendening–Chaffee–Duke | Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | Paul–Point–Goncalves | Glendening–Girgensons–Eyssimont | McDonagh–Cernak | Hedman–Perbix | Raddysh–Lilleberg | Hedman–Raddysh | Perbix–Lilleberg | McDonagh–Perbix | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evans–Suzuki–Caufield | 5:500.99–0.10 | 1:330.06–0.00 | 2:020.01–0.00 | 8:230.07–0.54 | 1:120.05–0.00 | 0:460.81–0.00 | 1:000.13–0.00 | ||||||
| Anderson–Dach–Newhook | 1:040.02–0.00 | 4:151.01–0.18 | 2:580.19–0.00 | 2:030.00–0.29 | 3:591.22–0.15 | 3:000.02–0.05 | 0:330.05–0.00 | ||||||
| Gallagher–Dvorak–Slafkovský | 1:380.24–0.00 | 2:520.26–0.36 | 0:520.00–0.05 | 1:290.10–0.09 | 1:080.14–0.00 | 0:480.16–0.00 | 3:570.55–0.09 | 2:390.02–0.26 | 1:180.00–0.00 | ||||
| Armia–Laine–Beck | 0:310.00–0.00 | 3:160.27–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:070.18–0.00 | 3:130.16–0.00 | |||||||
| Anderson–Evans–Newhook | 2:060.06–0.10 | 1:000.16–0.07 | 0:370.04–0.03 | ||||||||||
| Suzuki–Dach–Caufield | 1:370.05–0.00 | 1:270.05–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Suzuki–Caufield–Slafkovský | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Gallagher–Dvorak–Beck | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:300.06–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Matheson–Carrier | 5:430.44–0.20 | 3:070.21–0.28 | 1:280.06–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:330.14–0.00 | 2:490.14–0.07 | 4:210.47–0.07 | 2:440.02–0.21 | 0:530.05–0.00 | 0:440.11–0.00 | 1:060.06–0.14 | ||
| Savard–Xhekaj | 0:580.06–0.05 | 1:230.82–0.00 | 3:140.01–0.32 | 2:320.07–0.00 | 1:480.01–0.27 | 2:450.89–0.00 | 3:440.00–0.15 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||
| Struble–Hutson | 1:160.00–0.00 | 2:170.15–0.23 | 1:280.16–0.00 | 1:300.19–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.07 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 3:260.50–0.08 | 1:350.06–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.07 | ||||
| Carrier–Struble | 1:090.10–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:490.03–0.00 | 1:030.24–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Matheson–Hutson | 1:520.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 2:400.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Carrier–Hutson | 1:350.03–0.03 | 0:310.05–0.00 | 2:290.07–0.03 | ||||||||||
| Xhekaj–Hutson | 1:010.00–0.44 | ||||||||||||
| Matheson–Struble | 0:310.81–0.00 | 0:310.12–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Savard–Struble | 0:340.11–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.09 | 0:320.00–0.09 | 0:390.11–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
MTLTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 23:50 | 0:53 | 2:10 | 3 | 8 |
 Mike MathesonMTL | 23 | 23:31 | 1:01 | 2:12 | 7 | 3 |
 Alexandre CarrierMTL | 25 | 23:23 | 0:56 | 1:52 | 8 | 2 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 25 | 23:12 | 0:56 | 1:36 | 1 | 8 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 32 | 22:10 | 0:42 | 1:54 | 3 | 9 |
 Lane HutsonMTL | 23 | 22:05 | 0:58 | 2:04 | 5 | 0 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 33 | 20:52 | 0:38 | 1:54 | 4 | 9 |
 Cole CaufieldMTL | 25 | 20:49 | 0:50 | 1:51 | 9 | 1 |
 Nick SuzukiMTL | 25 | 20:26 | 0:49 | 1:53 | 9 | 1 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 25 | 18:50 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 2 | 7 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 21 | 18:43 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 1 | 4 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 21 | 18:22 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 1 | 6 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 22 | 18:22 | 0:50 | 1:59 | 3 | 7 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 22 | 18:18 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 1 | 7 |
 Jayden StrubleMTL | 21 | 17:50 | 0:51 | 1:47 | 0 | 0 |
 Jake EvansMTL | 21 | 17:43 | 0:51 | 1:12 | 7 | 2 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 23 | 17:30 | 0:46 | 1:38 | 3 | 3 |
 Alex NewhookMTL | 16 | 17:00 | 1:04 | 1:53 | 2 | 0 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 23 | 15:58 | 0:42 | 1:39 | 2 | 2 |
 Kirby DachMTL | 18 | 15:52 | 0:53 | 1:52 | 3 | 0 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýMTL | 20 | 15:34 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 7 | 3 |
 Josh AndersonMTL | 17 | 15:25 | 0:54 | 1:54 | 3 | 0 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 19 | 15:21 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 2 | 4 |
 Christian DvorakMTL | 22 | 14:43 | 0:40 | 1:14 | 6 | 5 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 16 | 14:39 | 0:55 | 1:42 | 3 | 1 |
 Arber XhekajMTL | 21 | 14:35 | 0:42 | 1:59 | 3 | 2 |
 David SavardMTL | 18 | 14:19 | 0:48 | 2:24 | 1 | 2 |
 Brendan GallagherMTL | 20 | 13:50 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 6 | 3 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 20 | 11:43 | 0:35 | 1:26 | 2 | 4 |
 Patrik LaineMTL | 13 | 11:13 | 0:52 | 1:43 | 4 | 1 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 14 | 10:37 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 3 | 1 |
 Owen BeckMTL | 13 | 10:01 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 4 | 2 |
 Cam AtkinsonTBL | 11 | 9:50 | 0:54 | 1:41 | 2 | 1 |
 Joel ArmiaMTL | 13 | 9:31 | 0:44 | 1:02 | 4 | 3 |
 Dylan DukeTBL | 13 | 8:05 | 0:37 | 1:40 | 0 | 3 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 11 | 7:49 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 0 | 3 |