Thu, Feb 27, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Calgary Flames 0, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.
52%
10%
9%
29%
TBL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:43 | 0.04 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:17 | 0.19 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:09 | 0.00 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:43 | 0.13 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:29 | 0.46 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.01 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 17:23 | 0.56 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.07 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.18 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.08 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.02 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.14 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.10 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.09 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.05 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:26 | 0.00 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:07 | 0.14 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:04 | 0.06 | 72.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.75 | −0.2 | 59:34 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:55 | 0.93 | 41.6% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:46 | 0.61 | 50.0% | +14.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.11 | 42.5% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:40 | 0.03 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:59 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:57 | 0.00 | 22.7% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.24 | 44.0% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:27 | 0.34 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:41 | 0.22 | 36.8% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.04 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 | 0.00 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:09 | 0.15 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.14 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.00 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.09 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.00 | 19.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 28 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.32 | +2.3 | 60:00 |