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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 27, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Calgary Flames 0, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.

TBL winsCGY wins

Calgary Flames

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

MacKenzie WeegarD · #52000−1323:430.0446.4%0.0
Rasmus AnderssonD · #4000−2323:170.1968.9%0.0
Kevin BahlD · #7000−1021:090.0060.6%0.0
Matt CoronatoRW · #27000−2218:430.1357.5%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #91000−2418:290.4657.8%0.0
Joel HanleyD · #440000017:370.0141.1%0.0
Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #10000−2517:230.5655.8%0.0
Blake ColemanLW · #200000117:120.0748.4%0.0
Mikael BacklundC · #110000216:580.1864.9%0.0
Yegor SharangovichC · #170000116:110.0876.6%0.0
Ilya SolovyovD · #980000115:500.0272.1%0.0
Connor ZaryC · #47000−1115:430.1453.9%0.0
Morgan FrostC · #160000215:060.1060.1%0.0
Joel FarabeeLW · #860000014:230.0971.6%0.0
Brayden PachalD · #940000114:050.0581.2%0.0
Kevin RooneyC · #210000011:260.0071.3%0.0
Ryan LombergLW · #70000029:070.1472.2%0.0
Martin PospisilC · #76000009:040.0672.9%0.0
Dustin Wolf#32L21192.9051.75−0.259:34

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Brandon HagelLW · #38112+2221:550.9341.6%+14.1
Victor HedmanD · #77022+1421:460.6150.0%+14.2
Erik CernakD · #81101+1120:110.1142.5%+13.4
J.J. MoserD · #90000+1019:400.0323.3%0.0
Ryan McDonaghD · #27000+1018:590.0046.3%0.0
Jake GuentzelC · #590110018:570.0022.7%+13.4
Anthony CirelliC · #71011+2218:200.2444.0%+13.4
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #280000417:270.3439.9%0.0
Nikita KucherovRW · #861010416:410.2236.8%+13.4
Brayden PointC · #210000115:090.0433.4%0.0
Luke GlendeningC · #110000014:360.0036.1%0.0
Nick PaulLW · #200000014:170.0045.2%0.0
Gage GoncalvesC · #93000+1214:090.1536.0%0.0
Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #410000113:530.1436.6%0.0
Emil LillebergD · #780000012:470.0018.2%0.0
Darren RaddyshD · #430000012:460.0030.9%0.0
Michael EyssimontC · #23000+1112:160.0940.7%0.0
Nick PerbixD · #480000010:040.0019.0%0.0
Andrei Vasilevskiy#88W282801.0002.32+2.360:00