Mon, Mar 3, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Florida Panthers 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.
28%
9%
56%
FLA winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27:58 | 0.30 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26:13 | 0.57 | 43.9% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:43 | 0.35 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:50 | 0.44 | 31.0% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.15 | 57.0% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:15 | 0.33 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:40 | 0.14 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.47 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.24 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.11 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.02 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:13 | 0.05 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.11 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 8.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.02 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.11 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:27 | 0.00 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:12 | 0.05 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.62 | +0.6 | 58:49 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:57 | 0.02 | 56.0% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:57 | 0.06 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:56 | 0.09 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:59 | 0.38 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20:44 | 0.46 | 63.1% | +32.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.04 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:21 | 0.04 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.06 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.29 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.07 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.10 | 54.5% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.17 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:39 | 0.08 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.17 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.02 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:09 | 0.06 | 84.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:48 | 0.49 | 82.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 3.46 | +2.5 | 60:00 |