Mon, Mar 3, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Florida Panthers 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.
28%
9%
56%
FLA winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | Paul–Chaffee–Goncalves | Glendening–Girgensons–Eyssimont | Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | Girgensons–Cirelli–Hagel | Point–Cirelli–Hagel | Glendening–Paul–Goncalves | Paul–Cirelli–Hagel | Paul–Eyssimont–Goncalves | McDonagh–Cernak | Hedman–Raddysh | Hedman–Moser | Hedman–Perbix | Perbix–Lilleberg | Raddysh–Moser | Perbix–Moser | Raddysh–Lilleberg | Moser–Lilleberg | Cernak–Lilleberg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verhaeghe–Barkov–Reinhart | 5:080.24–0.17 | 0:460.03–0.00 | 1:430.16–0.14 | 0:560.01–0.00 | 5:530.20–0.14 | 2:410.13–0.17 | 1:220.07–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Boqvist–Luostarinen–Lundell | 1:460.08–0.00 | 1:370.02–0.00 | 2:480.01–0.31 | 1:080.01–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.06 | 2:180.07–0.07 | 2:550.01–0.26 | 1:090.02–0.00 | 0:590.05–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.11 | 0:420.00–0.06 | 0:520.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Bennett–Rodrigues–Samoskevich | 0:440.00–0.03 | 2:060.00–0.00 | 3:180.01–0.05 | 1:530.03–0.14 | 2:510.04–0.05 | 0:360.00–0.14 | 1:050.00–0.03 | 1:030.00–0.02 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.03 | 0:350.15–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||
| Nosek–Greer–Gadjovich | 0:570.13–0.02 | 0:590.00–0.09 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:360.05–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:350.39–0.00 | 1:100.13–0.05 | |||||||||||
| Jones–Mikkola | 3:050.10–0.03 | 2:030.07–0.00 | 1:290.01–0.05 | 3:050.03–0.07 | 1:350.03–0.14 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 4:450.10–0.12 | 3:580.05–0.14 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:250.07–0.00 | 1:360.08–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.03 | ||||||
| Ekblad–Forsling | 5:110.20–0.18 | 1:060.02–0.00 | 0:370.04–0.24 | 1:010.13–0.09 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.06 | 0:310.08–0.00 | 4:000.17–0.09 | 2:580.15–0.41 | 2:450.30–0.00 | 1:070.05–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.05 | 0:440.00–0.06 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||
| Kulikov–Schmidt | 0:360.13–0.00 | 2:190.00–0.09 | 2:000.00–0.00 | 1:020.04–0.00 | 0:400.01–0.02 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:210.04–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.05 | 0:580.00–0.02 | 1:220.00–0.11 | 1:240.13–0.00 | 0:300.01–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.07 |
Every shift, one row per player.
FLATBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 26 | 27:58 | 1:05 | 2:57 | 8 | 1 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 25 | 26:13 | 1:03 | 2:07 | 7 | 2 |
 Aaron EkbladFLA | 31 | 24:57 | 0:48 | 2:29 | 2 | 9 |
 Gustav ForslingFLA | 30 | 24:57 | 0:50 | 2:08 | 0 | 8 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 23:43 | 0:53 | 2:00 | 6 | 1 |
 Seth JonesFLA | 26 | 22:56 | 0:53 | 1:29 | 4 | 3 |
 Sam ReinhartFLA | 24 | 21:59 | 0:55 | 1:55 | 4 | 5 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 23 | 21:50 | 0:57 | 2:14 | 8 | 1 |
 Aleksander BarkovFLA | 24 | 20:44 | 0:52 | 2:15 | 5 | 5 |
 Niko MikkolaFLA | 26 | 20:41 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 4 | 2 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 19 | 20:41 | 1:05 | 2:44 | 5 | 1 |
 Anton LundellFLA | 26 | 19:21 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 3 | 4 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 24 | 18:15 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 5 | 4 |
 Eetu LuostarinenFLA | 23 | 17:57 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 3 | 3 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 24 | 17:40 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 5 | 4 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 16 | 17:33 | 1:06 | 2:01 | 5 | 1 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 27 | 16:51 | 0:37 | 2:03 | 2 | 10 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 20 | 16:38 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 3 | 2 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 16:00 | 0:38 | 1:54 | 2 | 11 |
 Sam BennettFLA | 19 | 15:03 | 0:48 | 2:05 | 7 | 1 |
 Jesper BoqvistFLA | 20 | 15:02 | 0:45 | 1:05 | 3 | 3 |
 Mackie SamoskevichFLA | 18 | 14:23 | 0:48 | 2:15 | 7 | 1 |
 Carter VerhaegheFLA | 16 | 13:48 | 0:52 | 1:48 | 1 | 2 |
 Dmitry KulikovFLA | 21 | 13:31 | 0:39 | 0:56 | 1 | 2 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 19 | 13:13 | 0:42 | 1:02 | 2 | 3 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 16 | 12:44 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 3 | 2 |
 Evan RodriguesFLA | 16 | 12:39 | 0:47 | 1:04 | 5 | 1 |
 Nate SchmidtFLA | 18 | 11:07 | 0:37 | 1:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 18 | 10:55 | 0:36 | 1:31 | 2 | 8 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 15 | 10:47 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 19 | 10:25 | 0:33 | 0:58 | 1 | 7 |
 Tomas NosekFLA | 13 | 8:49 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 15 | 8:27 | 0:34 | 1:04 | 0 | 1 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 12 | 7:12 | 0:36 | 0:52 | 3 | 3 |
 A.J. GreerFLA | 10 | 5:09 | 0:31 | 1:12 | 0 | 1 |
 Jonah GadjovichFLA | 10 | 4:48 | 0:29 | 0:55 | 0 | 1 |