Tue, Mar 4, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.
55%
8%
30%
TBL winsCBJ wins
Columbus Blue Jackets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29:55 | 0.40 | 65.3% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:59 | 0.00 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:13 | 0.13 | 41.0% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.19 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.03 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:17 | 0.28 | 35.4% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.25 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.65 | 84.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:07 | 0.12 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.05 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.20 | 86.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.38 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:25 | 0.12 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:19 | 0.10 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.00 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:39 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:28 | 0.60 | 92.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:01 | 0.08 | 21.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 39 | 34 | 5 | .872 | 3.21 | −1.8 | 57:10 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 24:22 | 0.22 | 45.6% | +22.7 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 19:57 | 0.66 | 75.8% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:49 | 0.71 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:31 | 0.14 | 70.6% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.05 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.29 | 65.2% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:45 | 0.25 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 18:44 | 1.25 | 65.6% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.00 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.19 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:00 | 0.01 | 47.9% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.09 | 13.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:26 | 0.14 | 13.3% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.13 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:14 | 0.00 | 10.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:42 | 0.03 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:21 | 0.20 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:42 | 0.03 | 71.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.57 | +1.6 | 60:00 |