Tue, Mar 11, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Carolina Hurricanes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 74% of the time.
67%
19%
CAR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 23:08 | 0.40 | 25.9% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.19 | 34.3% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.18 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:01 | 0.42 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.02 | 20.2% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:43 | 0.16 | 39.5% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.02 | 44.5% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.21 | 76.6% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.05 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:57 | 0.00 | 46.7% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.07 | 76.7% | +4.4 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 50.8% | +4.4 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.06 | 42.1% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:42 | 0.00 | 6.1% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.06 | 12.0% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:55 | 0.50 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:22 | 0.07 | 33.3% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:49 | 0.20 | 88.7% | +4.4 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 4.17 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jaccob SlavinD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:35 | 0.18 | 70.3% | 0.0 |
 Brent BurnsD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:24 | 0.11 | 68.7% | 0.0 |
 Sebastian AhoC · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:12 | 0.35 | 79.7% | +10.9 |
 Seth JarvisRW · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:54 | 0.53 | 80.0% | +10.9 |
 Sean WalkerD · #26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 19:32 | 0.40 | 51.2% | +4.2 |
 Taylor HallLW · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:57 | 0.09 | 69.7% | +5.6 |
 Jack RoslovicC · #96 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.15 | 83.4% | +5.6 |
 Shayne GostisbehereD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.06 | 67.8% | 0.0 |
 Jalen ChatfieldD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.00 | 49.3% | +5.6 |
 Logan StankovenC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 16:40 | 0.18 | 29.8% | 0.0 |
 Jackson BlakeRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:34 | 1.01 | 73.8% | 0.0 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiC · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.06 | 65.1% | 0.0 |
 Scott MorrowD · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:12 | 0.29 | 64.0% | 0.0 |
 Eric RobinsonLW · #50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:48 | 0.21 | 66.0% | 0.0 |
 Mark JankowskiLW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:37 | 0.17 | 66.3% | 0.0 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.10 | 29.3% | +4.2 |
 Jordan MartinookLW · #48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:54 | 0.27 | 31.8% | +13.6 |
 Tyson JostC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
 Pyotr Kochetkov#52 | W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.61 | +1.6 | 59:45 |