Thu, Mar 13, 2025·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Philadelphia Flyers 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 60% of the time.
50%
10%
8%
32%
PHI winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 28:04 | 0.17 | 53.2% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:51 | 0.13 | 42.5% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:57 | 0.27 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:49 | 0.44 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:09 | 0.04 | 28.1% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.00 | 20.7% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:38 | 0.21 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.22 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.03 | 22.2% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.04 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.20 | 46.2% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 44.7% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.15 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.15 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:54 | 0.06 | 25.2% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.07 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:56 | 0.09 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 7:06 | 0.12 | 48.8% | +24.9 |
| O | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.86 | −0.1 | 65:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 29:06 | 0.11 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:39 | 0.00 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:28 | 0.08 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:12 | 0.94 | 69.0% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:15 | 0.39 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:42 | 0.11 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:52 | 0.02 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:49 | 0.47 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:38 | 0.07 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.06 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:03 | 0.00 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.25 | 82.6% | +63.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.03 | 86.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 14:10 | 0.23 | 79.5% | +40.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 11:11 | 0.04 | 93.7% | +40.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:25 | 0.03 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:56 | 0.03 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:25 | 0.02 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 2.37 | −0.6 | 65:00 |