Sun, Mar 23, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Vegas Golden Knights 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 62% of the time.
54%
31%
VGK winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 24:17 | 0.12 | 63.9% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 22:42 | 0.59 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:19 | 0.10 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 22:09 | 0.56 | 53.2% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 21:45 | 0.38 | 67.0% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.04 | 30.3% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.01 | 19.1% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.09 | 69.5% | +5.7 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.09 | 66.1% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.13 | 71.0% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.04 | 36.5% | +5.7 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:26 | 0.10 | 59.2% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:22 | 0.22 | 44.0% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.06 | 65.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:10 | 0.45 | 63.0% | +5.7 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:06 | 0.04 | 56.9% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:57 | 0.33 | 80.2% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:54 | 0.18 | 68.8% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.63 | +0.6 | 58:28 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Alex PietrangeloD · #7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 25:03 | 0.45 | 60.6% | +13.6 |
 Noah HanifinD · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:27 | 0.15 | 70.6% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas HagueD · #14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.30 | 26.6% | +0.8 |
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:04 | 0.22 | 55.9% | +8.3 |
 Zach WhitecloudD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.02 | 39.5% | +8.3 |
 William KarlssonC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.25 | 41.2% | +12.8 |
 Mark StoneRW · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:44 | 0.57 | 50.6% | 0.0 |
 Brayden McNabbD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Pavel DorofeyevRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:42 | 0.57 | 75.7% | 0.0 |
 Brandon SaadLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.10 | 77.9% | 0.0 |
 Ivan BarbashevLW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.19 | 33.0% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 14:04 | 0.81 | 25.5% | +12.8 |
 Reilly SmithRW · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.14 | 45.6% | +11.6 |
 Brett HowdenC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.00 | 29.8% | +0.8 |
 Tomas HertlC · #48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 12:54 | 0.39 | 62.2% | +11.6 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.00 | 25.4% | 0.0 |
 Ben HuttonD · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:16 | 0.11 | 34.8% | 0.0 |
 Keegan KolesarRW · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.00 | 19.4% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 3.51 | +1.5 | 60:00 |