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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 23, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Vegas Golden Knights 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 62% of the time.

VGK winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Guentzel–PointKucherov–Cirelli–HagelGourde–Bjorkstrand–PaulCirelli–Hagel–GoncalvesBjorkstrand–Paul–GoncalvesGlendening–Gourde–GirgensonsGuentzel–Point–GoncalvesGourde–Guentzel–PointGlendening–Girgensons–GoncalvesGlendening–Cirelli–HagelGourde–Cirelli–HagelMcDonagh–CernakHedman–RaddyshPerbix–LillebergHedman–MoserRaddysh–LillebergPerbix–MoserHedman–PerbixCernak–Moser
Stone–Barbashev–Eichel2:200.00–0.242:030.00–0.271:110.00–0.000:590.08–0.010:330.00–0.002:190.22–0.043:100.00–0.281:090.03–0.001:520.00–0.370:320.00–0.00
Saad–Hertl–Dorofeyev0:430.06–0.002:400.16–0.070:450.00–0.011:010.05–0.044:540.17–0.061:300.07–0.011:370.17–0.10
Smith–Karlsson–Howden1:220.05–0.001:240.04–0.170:490.00–0.120:380.00–0.000:530.00–0.101:280.01–0.000:390.02–0.000:530.00–0.002:260.06–0.172:530.16–0.220:460.05–0.00
Olofsson–Kolesar–Roy0:530.00–0.001:040.00–0.111:080.13–0.001:050.00–0.061:140.00–0.001:020.00–0.001:310.00–0.160:520.00–0.001:290.00–0.040:340.00–0.121:150.13–0.02
Smith–Saad–Karlsson1:000.01–0.001:000.01–0.00
Pietrangelo–Hanifin5:240.80–0.242:560.06–0.300:390.04–0.001:170.18–0.000:580.12–0.003:540.70–0.042:480.31–0.192:470.16–0.132:150.00–0.000:560.04–0.000:500.05–0.00
McNabb–Whitecloud2:380.11–0.011:300.04–0.140:530.08–0.001:170.00–0.230:320.00–0.001:240.00–0.001:260.02–0.000:560.05–0.042:400.08–0.162:520.06–0.192:250.05–0.082:010.09–0.001:220.02–0.01
Hutton–Hague0:560.00–0.182:370.13–0.032:070.08–0.491:360.03–0.003:140.19–0.011:000.00–0.001:360.03–0.101:550.00–0.110:340.00–0.120:310.13–0.00
Pietrangelo–Hague0:480.00–0.051:000.00–0.090:550.00–0.051:330.00–0.090:350.00–0.00
Hague–Whitecloud0:340.12–0.020:530.00–0.020:470.12–0.020:490.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDorofeyev FSaad FHertl FSmith FHowden FKarlsson FBarbashev FEichel FStone FOlofsson FRoy FKolesar FHague DHutton DWhitecloud DMcNabb DHanifin DPietrangelo DSamsonov GPaul FBjorkstrand FGoncalves FPoint FGourde FGuentzel FHagel FKucherov FCirelli FGlendening FGirgensons FMcDonagh DCernak DMoser DHedman DLilleberg DPerbix DRaddysh DVasilevskiy G
VGKTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Alex PietrangeloVGK3025:030:501:5737
Victor HedmanTBL2624:170:561:4955
Brayden PointTBL2422:420:571:4993
Jake GuentzelTBL2422:190:561:4992
Nikita KucherovTBL2222:091:002:0561
Brandon HagelTBL2621:450:501:4924
Noah HanifinVGK2321:270:561:5853
Nicolas HagueVGK2320:470:541:3133
Jack EichelVGK2120:040:572:0455
Zach WhitecloudVGK2420:000:501:1426
William KarlssonVGK2218:460:511:3047
Ryan McDonaghTBL2518:030:431:4529
Erik CernakTBL2317:280:461:1137
Mark StoneVGK1916:440:531:3253
Brayden McNabbVGK2015:460:471:5324
Darren RaddyshTBL2015:440:471:1221
Pavel DorofeyevVGK1815:420:522:3452
Anthony CirelliTBL2015:250:461:1615
Yanni GourdeTBL2115:100:431:2232
Brandon SaadVGK2115:090:431:1613
Ivan BarbashevVGK1714:340:511:1943
Nicolas RoyVGK1814:040:471:1424
Reilly SmithVGK1813:590:471:0823
Gage GoncalvesTBL1913:500:441:1532
Nick PerbixTBL2013:260:401:4231
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL1813:220:451:2025
Brett HowdenVGK1913:190:421:0743
J.J. MoserTBL2213:030:361:3115
Tomas HertlVGK1912:540:411:0172
Victor OlofssonVGK1612:120:461:2522
Nick PaulTBL1812:100:411:1504
Emil LillebergTBL2012:060:361:0330
Ben HuttonVGK1511:160:451:2433
Luke GlendeningTBL1810:570:371:0747
Keegan KolesarVGK1510:250:421:2222
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL159:540:401:1125