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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 17, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Simon EdvinssonD · #77000−3124:210.0657.4%0.0
Moritz SeiderD · #53011−2323:350.1056.4%+13.7
Albert JohanssonD · #20000−1019:560.0621.5%0.0
Ben ChiarotD · #8000−1119:200.0120.4%0.0
Patrick KaneRW · #88011−2118:260.0157.9%+13.7
Justin HollD · #3112+2417:520.1161.5%+35.4
Alex DeBrincatRW · #93101+1317:120.2859.9%+13.7
Marco KasperC · #92011+1616:370.4159.9%+20.5
Dylan LarkinC · #71000−2116:360.0329.3%0.0
J.T. CompherLW · #37000−1116:270.0365.6%0.0
Michael RasmussenC · #27000−1315:450.3654.1%0.0
William LagessonD · #84000+2115:220.0359.4%0.0
Vladimir TarasenkoRW · #11011+1115:050.0070.6%+20.5
Tyler MotteC · #140000315:030.1933.7%0.0
Craig SmithC · #150000014:390.0035.2%0.0
Austin WatsonLW · #241010414:000.3931.0%+14.8
Jonatan BerggrenRW · #48000−1012:470.0019.0%0.0
Lucas RaymondLW · #23000−115:450.0917.9%0.0
Cam Talbot#39O20164.8002.97−1.060:56

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44000+1021:160.0063.0%0.0
Dakota MermisD · #360110120:390.1349.6%+46.1
Philippe MyersD · #51101+2319:490.1955.3%+16.1
Simon BenoitD · #20000219:440.0744.1%0.0
Brandon CarloD · #25000−2118:330.0268.6%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16022+1016:360.0053.5%+65.7
William NylanderRW · #88000+1016:280.0019.9%0.0
John TavaresC · #910000116:220.099.4%0.0
Chris TanevD · #8101+1116:070.1260.6%+51.3
Pontus HolmbergRW · #290110015:550.2667.0%+51.3
Scott LaughtonC · #24101+2315:470.3766.5%+46.1
Bobby McMannC · #74000−1215:390.2162.8%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34101+1115:360.3076.3%+14.4
Max DomiC · #11000−1015:150.0017.0%0.0
Calle JarnkrokC · #19011+1015:140.1271.6%+16.1
Steven LorentzC · #18011+1415:030.7867.6%+16.1
Matthew KniesLW · #23022+3014:190.2069.3%+60.5
Nick RobertsonLW · #89000−1113:200.1366.9%0.0
Joseph Woll#60W34313.9122.18−0.859:18