Thu, Apr 17, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
55%
10%
8%
27%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 24:21 | 0.06 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 23:35 | 0.10 | 56.4% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:56 | 0.06 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.01 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.01 | 57.9% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 17:52 | 0.11 | 61.5% | +35.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:12 | 0.28 | 59.9% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 16:37 | 0.41 | 59.9% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.03 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.03 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:45 | 0.36 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.03 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 70.6% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:03 | 0.19 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.00 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:00 | 0.39 | 31.0% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.00 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:45 | 0.09 | 17.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 20 | 16 | 4 | .800 | 2.97 | −1.0 | 60:56 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:16 | 0.00 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.13 | 49.6% | +46.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:49 | 0.19 | 55.3% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:44 | 0.07 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.02 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.00 | 53.5% | +65.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.09 | 9.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.12 | 60.6% | +51.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.26 | 67.0% | +51.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:47 | 0.37 | 66.5% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.21 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.30 | 76.3% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.00 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.12 | 71.6% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:03 | 0.78 | 67.6% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.20 | 69.3% | +60.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.13 | 66.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.18 | −0.8 | 59:18 |