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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 17, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smith–Watson–MotteKane–DeBrincat–KasperTarasenko–Compher–RasmussenLarkin–Berggren–RaymondTarasenko–Larkin–BerggrenLarkin–Rasmussen–BerggrenCompher–Larkin–BerggrenKane–Larkin–BerggrenSeider–EdvinssonChiarot–JohanssonHoll–Lagesson
Jarnkrok–Laughton–Lorentz6:140.87–0.141:200.00–0.121:310.09–0.100:450.00–0.000:470.00–0.004:050.00–0.235:240.87–0.101:370.09–0.10
Holmberg–Robertson–McMann2:310.00–0.231:430.00–0.003:280.13–0.030:460.13–0.000:490.05–0.000:310.00–0.002:490.00–0.002:070.20–0.105:340.31–0.16
Tavares–Domi–Nylander2:590.02–0.132:200.04–0.281:580.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:560.02–0.003:150.08–0.123:370.00–0.022:100.00–0.26
Marner–Matthews–Knies1:020.00–0.003:570.24–0.071:480.00–0.111:060.30–0.004:310.50–0.073:050.04–0.001:330.00–0.11
Tanev–Benoit0:480.00–0.005:240.22–0.171:010.00–0.001:000.01–0.001:420.00–0.061:110.00–0.066:000.24–0.172:250.20–0.002:550.02–0.00
Rielly–Myers3:470.77–0.121:420.00–0.122:390.04–0.371:260.30–0.004:540.34–0.193:590.77–0.041:430.00–0.37
Mermis–Carlo2:530.08–0.182:120.14–0.011:490.12–0.000:380.03–0.000:450.00–0.003:420.08–0.054:180.26–0.16
Mermis–Myers2:400.11–0.062:300.05–0.091:260.00–0.033:050.00–0.112:260.16–0.021:260.00–0.06
Rielly–Carlo1:090.00–0.000:580.00–0.001:310.09–0.001:030.00–0.000:490.00–0.002:350.00–0.001:270.09–0.00
Mermis–Benoit0:330.05–0.00
Carlo–Benoit0:380.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Myers–Benoit0:370.00–0.10
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndLorentz FJarnkrok FLaughton FMarner FKnies FMatthews FNylander FTavares FDomi FMcMann FRobertson FHolmberg FBenoit DTanev DRielly DMyers DMermis DCarlo DWoll GRaymond FBerggren FLarkin FKane FKasper FDeBrincat FTarasenko FRasmussen FCompher FSmith FWatson FMotte FSeider DEdvinsson DJohansson DChiarot DHoll DLagesson DTalbot G
TORDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Simon EdvinssonDET2924:210:501:3923
Moritz SeiderDET2623:350:541:4533
Morgan RiellyTOR2721:160:471:2733
Dakota MermisTOR2920:390:431:3612
Albert JohanssonDET2419:560:501:2751
Philippe MyersTOR2819:490:421:1413
Simon BenoitTOR2519:440:471:3704
Ben ChiarotDET2619:200:451:2661
Brandon CarloTOR2618:330:431:2333
Patrick KaneDET2118:260:531:2831
Justin HollDET2317:520:471:2611
Alex DeBrincatDET2117:120:491:2131
Marco KasperDET2216:370:451:1721
Mitch MarnerTOR1816:360:551:4521
Dylan LarkinDET2116:360:471:1930
William NylanderTOR1816:280:552:1520
J.T. CompherDET2316:270:431:0842
John TavaresTOR2016:220:491:4940
Chris TanevTOR2416:070:401:5803
Pontus HolmbergTOR1815:550:531:2402
Scott LaughtonTOR2215:470:431:1316
Michael RasmussenDET2115:450:451:1520
Bobby McMannTOR1715:390:551:3502
Auston MatthewsTOR1715:360:551:4421
William LagessonDET2015:220:461:2210
Max DomiTOR1915:150:481:3222
Calle JarnkrokTOR2115:140:441:1216
Vladimir TarasenkoDET2215:050:411:1531
Steven LorentzTOR2115:030:431:0416
Tyler MotteDET1915:030:481:1932
Craig SmithDET1814:390:491:1631
Matthew KniesTOR1814:190:481:2320
Austin WatsonDET1814:000:471:1831
Nick RobertsonTOR1713:200:471:2502
Jonatan BerggrenDET1712:470:451:1910
Lucas RaymondDET95:450:381:1410