Sat, Oct 11, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Detroit Red Wings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 80% of the time.
74%
13%
DET winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Matthews–Maccelli–Knies | Tavares–Nylander–McMann | Domi–Joshua–Robertson | Jarnkrok–Nylander–Roy | Tavares–Robertson–McMann | Tavares–Domi–McMann | Domi–Robertson–McMann | Tavares–Joshua–Maccelli | Jarnkrok–Roy–Lorentz | Jarnkrok–Joshua–Roy | Rielly–Carlo | Tanev–McCabe | Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–Carlo | Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | Carlo–Benoit | Rielly–Benoit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larkin–Raymond–Finnie | 7:430.52–0.47 | 0:360.00–0.17 | 3:560.25–0.20 | 3:040.00–0.10 | 1:460.10–0.00 | 0:300.26–0.11 | 0:300.13–0.07 | ||||||||||
| Kane–DeBrincat–Kasper | 1:070.33–0.00 | 4:130.16–0.12 | 0:550.00–0.08 | 0:470.08–0.00 | 2:300.32–0.08 | 2:330.17–0.00 | 2:490.58–0.12 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:470.03–0.00 | ||||||||
| Copp–Compher–Brandsegg-Nygård | 5:590.69–0.00 | 0:570.13–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.07 | 3:290.42–0.07 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 3:250.37–0.00 | 0:440.05–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Appleton–Rasmussen–Berggren | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:040.07–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.08 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.19 | 1:280.13–0.00 | 2:520.00–0.41 | 1:270.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Chiarot–Seider | 8:020.51–0.28 | 0:400.21–0.00 | 1:110.26–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.16 | 0:520.08–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.19 | 5:020.60–0.08 | 4:550.17–0.38 | 2:390.21–0.00 | 0:450.26–0.11 | 0:530.00–0.07 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||
| Edvinsson–Sandin-Pellikka | 0:330.01–0.19 | 5:320.68–0.00 | 1:510.10–0.12 | 1:130.17–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.07 | 3:540.16–0.27 | 2:320.03–0.00 | 5:500.70–0.16 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:330.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Bernard-Docker–Johansson | 1:280.02–0.07 | 2:450.01–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.17 | 2:380.39–0.07 | 2:330.00–0.07 | 1:280.14–0.00 | 0:500.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Johansson–Edvinsson | 1:120.05–0.00 | 0:380.11–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.06 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
