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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 11, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

New Jersey Devils 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 70% of the time.

TBL winsNJD wins

New Jersey Devils

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Brett PesceD · #220000021:300.0077.0%0.0
Luke HughesD · #43022+2220:320.0377.8%+22.9
Brenden DillonD · #50000020:140.0165.2%0.0
Nico HischierC · #13112+2319:590.6959.8%+24.8
Jack HughesC · #860000719:190.8775.5%0.0
Dawson MercerC · #91011+3019:080.0050.7%+15.2
Dougie HamiltonD · #7000+1118:510.1428.0%0.0
Jesper BrattLW · #63101+1318:060.4179.9%+17.4
Timo MeierRW · #28112+1317:140.2249.2%+24.8
Jonas SiegenthalerD · #71000+1017:010.0029.5%0.0
Simon NemecD · #170110215:010.0173.8%+5.7
Connor BrownRW · #162020314:450.1458.8%+19.0
Ondrej PalatLW · #18000−1214:290.1578.3%0.0
Arseny GritsyukRW · #81022+1313:140.3252.6%+19.0
Paul CotterLW · #47000−2012:590.0125.4%0.0
Luke GlendeningC · #14000−2012:520.0021.6%0.0
Cody GlassC · #12000+2011:570.0756.2%0.0
Zack MacEwenC · #15000027:120.0652.6%0.0
Jacob Markstrom#25W17143.8241.97−1.059:48

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Victor HedmanD · #77000+1127:170.0425.8%0.0
Jake GuentzelC · #590000424:310.4040.9%0.0
Anthony CirelliC · #710000221:450.1041.3%0.0
Nikita KucherovRW · #86000−3120:320.2635.5%0.0
Ryan McDonaghD · #271010120:220.0568.6%+16.3
Brayden PointC · #21011−2020:070.0040.4%+8.8
Brandon HagelLW · #380110018:100.3055.1%+16.3
Darren RaddyshD · #43101−2217:380.1836.7%+1.5
Erik CernakD · #81000−1117:130.0558.8%0.0
Emil LillebergD · #78000−2017:100.006.8%0.0
Max CrozierD · #24022+1015:570.0745.7%+25.1
Yanni GourdeC · #37101−1215:330.2933.3%+8.8
Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22011−1112:160.0336.7%+1.5
Gage GoncalvesC · #930110010:210.0050.8%+1.5
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29000009:540.0030.4%0.0
Jack FinleyC · #62000009:050.0033.3%0.0
Conor GeekieC · #14000028:580.1954.7%0.0
Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41000008:280.000.0%0.0
Andrei Vasilevskiy#88L31265.8392.96−2.056:43