Sat, Oct 11, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
New Jersey Devils 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 70% of the time.
22%
8%
62%
TBL winsNJD wins
New Jersey Devils
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:30 | 0.00 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:32 | 0.03 | 77.8% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:14 | 0.01 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:59 | 0.69 | 59.8% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19:19 | 0.87 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 19:08 | 0.00 | 50.7% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.14 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.41 | 79.9% | +17.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:14 | 0.22 | 49.2% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:01 | 0.00 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.01 | 73.8% | +5.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14:45 | 0.14 | 58.8% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:29 | 0.15 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:14 | 0.32 | 52.6% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.01 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.00 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.07 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:12 | 0.06 | 52.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 17 | 14 | 3 | .824 | 1.97 | −1.0 | 59:48 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 27:17 | 0.04 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:31 | 0.40 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:45 | 0.10 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.26 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:22 | 0.05 | 68.6% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 20:07 | 0.00 | 40.4% | +8.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.30 | 55.1% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.18 | 36.7% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.05 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:10 | 0.00 | 6.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 15:57 | 0.07 | 45.7% | +25.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.29 | 33.3% | +8.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.03 | 36.7% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.00 | 50.8% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:54 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:58 | 0.19 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:28 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 2.96 | −2.0 | 56:43 |