Sat, Oct 11, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
New Jersey Devils 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 70% of the time.
22%
8%
62%
TBL winsNJD wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Meier–Hischier–Mercer | Palat–Bratt–Hughes | Brown–Glass–Gritsyuk | Glendening–MacEwen–Cotter | Glendening–Brown–Cotter | Hamilton–Siegenthaler | Pesce–Hughes | Dillon–Nemec | Hughes–Nemec | Pesce–Nemec | Pesce–Siegenthaler | Hamilton–Pesce | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Point–Hagel | 0:460.00–0.00 | 2:370.14–0.12 | 1:420.05–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.01 | 3:290.14–0.12 | 2:110.06–0.00 | 2:190.05–0.08 | |||||
| Gourde–Guentzel–Cirelli | 2:370.40–0.04 | 1:000.00–0.41 | 0:430.00–0.07 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:260.39–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.45 | 3:000.00–0.07 | |||||
| Holmberg–Chaffee–Finley | 0:380.00–0.09 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 3:220.00–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.01 | 2:060.00–0.04 | 1:490.00–0.09 | 1:580.00–0.01 | |||||
| Bjorkstrand–Goncalves–Geekie | 1:270.03–0.00 | 1:020.05–0.00 | 0:440.06–0.00 | 2:080.05–0.00 | 0:470.05–0.00 | |||||||
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | 2:550.03–0.05 | 0:400.00–0.05 | 1:110.03–0.22 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Gourde–Bjorkstrand–Geekie | 0:360.00–0.08 | 1:360.00–0.15 | 1:060.00–0.14 | 1:190.00–0.08 | ||||||||
| Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:590.05–0.00 | |||||||||
| Cirelli–Hagel–Goncalves | 1:070.07–0.29 | 0:560.07–0.29 | ||||||||||
| Guentzel–Cirelli–Geekie | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:070.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Guentzel–Cirelli–Goncalves | 0:550.00–0.02 | 0:540.00–0.01 | ||||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 1:260.43–0.00 | 3:520.18–0.05 | 0:390.00–0.03 | 3:510.60–0.08 | 3:100.09–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 2:250.00–0.00 | 1:130.09–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:320.05–0.01 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 4:090.05–0.10 | |||||
| Crozier–Lilleberg | 0:450.00–0.22 | 3:250.00–0.06 | 0:510.08–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.04 | 1:210.00–0.22 | 1:520.08–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.01 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||
| Hedman–Crozier | 2:070.07–0.01 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.07 | 1:150.07–0.00 | 2:160.07–0.01 | 1:520.06–0.07 | 0:310.07–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||
| Raddysh–Lilleberg | 0:590.00–0.08 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.40 | |||||||||
| McDonagh–Crozier | 1:110.00–0.08 | 0:560.05–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.08 | 0:540.00–0.03 | 1:030.05–0.00 | |||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 1:250.00–0.22 | 0:350.00–0.07 | 1:000.00–0.12 | 0:550.02–0.09 | 0:350.00–0.07 | |||||||
| McDonagh–Raddysh | 1:120.05–0.19 | 0:310.07–0.01 | 1:140.07–0.20 | |||||||||
| Hedman–Lilleberg | 1:250.00–0.05 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.46 | |||||||||
| Cernak–Lilleberg | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 30 | 27:17 | 0:55 | 3:17 | 3 | 3 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 22 | 24:31 | 1:07 | 3:43 | 2 | 4 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 22 | 21:45 | 0:59 | 3:43 | 1 | 4 |
 Brett PesceNJD | 25 | 21:30 | 0:52 | 1:50 | 4 | 6 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 18 | 20:32 | 1:08 | 3:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Luke HughesNJD | 25 | 20:32 | 0:49 | 1:58 | 4 | 3 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 28 | 20:22 | 0:44 | 1:43 | 3 | 2 |
 Brenden DillonNJD | 23 | 20:14 | 0:53 | 3:17 | 3 | 4 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 18 | 20:07 | 1:07 | 3:17 | 5 | 2 |
 Nico HischierNJD | 26 | 19:59 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 4 | 1 |
 Jack HughesNJD | 22 | 19:19 | 0:53 | 1:54 | 3 | 0 |
 Dawson MercerNJD | 23 | 19:08 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 4 | 1 |
 Dougie HamiltonNJD | 25 | 18:51 | 0:45 | 1:49 | 1 | 0 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 22 | 18:10 | 0:50 | 2:07 | 4 | 2 |
 Jesper BrattNJD | 21 | 18:06 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 2 | 2 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 22 | 17:38 | 0:48 | 1:49 | 7 | 0 |
 Timo MeierNJD | 24 | 17:14 | 0:43 | 1:54 | 3 | 0 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 17:13 | 0:41 | 1:32 | 3 | 2 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 28 | 17:10 | 0:37 | 1:10 | 2 | 5 |
 Jonas SiegenthalerNJD | 22 | 17:01 | 0:46 | 1:48 | 1 | 0 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 19 | 15:57 | 0:50 | 2:45 | 2 | 5 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 20 | 15:33 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 2 | 3 |
 Simon NemecNJD | 20 | 15:01 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Connor BrownNJD | 21 | 14:45 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Ondrej PalatNJD | 20 | 14:29 | 0:43 | 1:41 | 2 | 2 |
 Arseny GritsyukNJD | 16 | 13:14 | 0:50 | 1:24 | 1 | 2 |
 Paul CotterNJD | 14 | 12:59 | 0:56 | 1:16 | 3 | 0 |
 Luke GlendeningNJD | 18 | 12:52 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 3 | 4 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 15 | 12:16 | 0:49 | 1:43 | 4 | 0 |
 Cody GlassNJD | 16 | 11:57 | 0:45 | 1:03 | 1 | 2 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 13 | 10:21 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 13 | 9:54 | 0:46 | 1:07 | 0 | 2 |
 Jack FinleyTBL | 14 | 9:05 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 0 | 3 |
 Conor GeekieTBL | 13 | 8:58 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 3 | 0 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 11 | 8:28 | 0:46 | 0:56 | 0 | 1 |
 Zack MacEwenNJD | 9 | 7:12 | 0:48 | 1:00 | 2 | 0 |