Mon, Oct 13, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.
54%
8%
9%
29%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 26:22 | 0.05 | 35.6% | 0.0 |
 Axel Sandin-PellikkaD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:12 | 0.04 | 20.6% | 0.0 |
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:59 | 0.01 | 38.2% | +40.7 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:31 | 0.08 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
 Simon EdvinssonD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.05 | 30.9% | 0.0 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:39 | 1.04 | 21.7% | +17.0 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:35 | 0.30 | 34.1% | +17.0 |
 Patrick KaneRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.15 | 22.5% | 0.0 |
 Marco KasperC · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.05 | 25.8% | 0.0 |
 Emmitt FinnieC · #58 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.00 | 28.0% | +40.7 |
 Andrew CoppC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.02 | 30.5% | +16.7 |
 Michael Brandsegg-NygårdRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.00 | 14.6% | 0.0 |
 Mason AppletonC · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:36 | 0.18 | 41.6% | +40.7 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.16 | 41.8% | 0.0 |
 Albert JohanssonD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:12 | 0.01 | 40.8% | 0.0 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:03 | 0.16 | 55.2% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.18 | 57.2% | +16.7 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:58 | 0.02 | 26.3% | +17.0 |
 Cam Talbot#39 | W | 40 | 38 | 2 | .950 | 3.23 | +1.2 | 59:47 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 22:34 | 0.78 | 75.0% | +28.9 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:31 | 0.29 | 75.0% | +44.8 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 22:21 | 0.14 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:41 | 0.01 | 78.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:42 | 0.12 | 51.2% | 0.0 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:00 | 0.00 | 83.8% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:46 | 0.13 | 77.8% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.16 | 77.7% | 0.0 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.11 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.38 | 54.8% | 0.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.27 | 73.9% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 13:30 | 0.30 | 68.4% | +15.8 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.00 | 61.3% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:22 | 0.05 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:12 | 0.05 | 61.0% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:04 | 0.22 | 71.4% | +28.9 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:18 | 0.11 | 63.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:40 | 0.11 | 65.3% | 0.0 |
 Anthony Stolarz#41 | L | 15 | 12 | 3 | .800 | 2.49 | −0.5 | 59:04 |