Mon, Oct 13, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.
54%
8%
9%
29%
TOR winsDET wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kane–DeBrincat–Kasper | Copp–Compher–Brandsegg-Nygård | Larkin–Raymond–Finnie | Larkin–Appleton–Finnie | van Riemsdyk–Appleton–Rasmussen | van Riemsdyk–Copp–Rasmussen | Kane–Compher–Kasper | Compher–Finnie–Brandsegg-Nygård | van Riemsdyk–DeBrincat–Rasmussen | Chiarot–Seider | Edvinsson–Sandin-Pellikka | Bernard-Docker–Johansson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthews–Knies–Cowan | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 4:000.16–0.08 | 2:290.46–0.00 | 4:190.30–0.01 | 2:540.25–0.06 | 1:380.00–0.00 | |||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Maccelli | 3:590.15–0.13 | 2:090.10–0.06 | 0:300.03–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:430.01–0.11 | 3:070.08–0.11 | 2:020.02–0.06 | 2:130.09–0.13 | ||||
| Domi–Robertson–McMann | 1:460.15–0.06 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.04 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 3:100.00–0.05 | 1:000.14–0.00 | 2:000.25–0.19 | |||||
| Jarnkrok–Joshua–Roy | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 1:140.06–0.00 | 0:510.07–0.00 | 0:540.12–0.07 | 0:310.00–0.02 | 0:560.07–0.00 | 4:180.19–0.14 | 1:360.00–0.02 | |||
| Nylander–Matthews–Knies | 1:240.10–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:200.09–0.15 | 1:570.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Tanev–McCabe | 1:480.00–0.00 | 1:120.13–0.00 | 2:590.07–0.06 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 1:430.12–0.00 | 0:400.01–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 5:340.07–0.00 | 4:090.25–0.06 | 1:580.01–0.00 | |
| Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | 2:250.21–0.01 | 3:190.17–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:510.40–0.00 | 2:070.03–0.12 | 0:500.13–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 4:320.26–0.02 | 3:470.40–0.14 | 3:190.31–0.19 | ||
| Rielly–Carlo | 3:370.14–0.18 | 2:580.02–0.06 | 1:330.06–0.02 | 1:340.13–0.15 | 0:330.15–0.11 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 4:100.13–0.30 | 4:000.10–0.06 | 3:130.13–0.15 | |||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 0:400.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:420.03–0.00 | 1:490.05–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Rielly–McCabe | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| McCabe–Benoit | 0:340.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
