Thu, Oct 23, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.
46%
8%
9%
37%
TBL winsCHI wins
Chicago Blackhawks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:32 | 0.19 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:19 | 0.02 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:33 | 0.64 | 32.3% | +53.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.09 | 31.9% | +53.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.21 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.26 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.12 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.04 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.04 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.05 | 31.4% | +13.6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:05 | 0.21 | 42.1% | +58.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.30 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 8.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.03 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:22 | 0.30 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.02 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.14 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.05 | 30.4% | +18.3 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.01 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 23:10 | 0.16 | 63.5% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:05 | 0.20 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22:44 | 0.47 | 57.9% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:40 | 0.01 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:38 | 0.11 | 57.9% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:27 | 0.09 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.09 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:05 | 0.03 | 50.8% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:34 | 0.24 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:20 | 0.25 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:28 | 0.12 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.20 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.24 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:03 | 0.00 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:09 | 0.33 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.28 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:00 | 0.09 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:08 | 0.12 | 64.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.71 | −0.3 | 59:13 |