Thu, Oct 23, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.
46%
8%
9%
37%
TBL winsCHI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Teravainen–Mikheyev–Nazar | Foligno–Slaggert–Dach | Bertuzzi–Reichel–Bedard | Donato–Reichel–Greene | Donato–Greene–Bedard | Teravainen–Donato–Nazar | Bertuzzi–Donato–Bedard | Vlasic–Rinzel | Crevier–Kaiser | Murphy–Kaiser | Grzelcyk–Levshunov | Murphy–Vlasic | Vlasic–Crevier | Kaiser–Levshunov | Murphy–Grzelcyk | Kaiser–Rinzel | Grzelcyk–Rinzel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gourde–Bjorkstrand–Holmberg | 2:580.31–0.14 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:490.11–0.00 | 0:540.24–0.02 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:080.13–0.09 | 3:060.06–0.13 | 0:410.02–0.00 | 1:100.14–0.00 | 0:430.07–0.00 | 0:300.24–0.00 | ||||||
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | 1:340.10–0.05 | 1:150.00–0.01 | 2:120.16–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.20 | 1:150.15–0.17 | 0:590.03–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.05 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 0:520.11–0.00 | 1:210.07–0.04 | |||||||
| Douglas–Chaffee–James | 0:400.56–0.00 | 3:070.04–0.30 | 0:520.00–0.05 | 1:360.58–0.00 | 2:090.13–0.15 | 0:330.00–0.07 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:180.07–0.12 | 1:150.11–0.18 | 1:420.12–0.00 | 1:590.11–0.00 | 0:390.06–0.00 | 0:320.11–0.00 | 0:570.01–0.30 | ||||||||||
| Cirelli–Hagel–Goncalves | 0:520.20–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.08 | 1:460.15–0.07 | 1:060.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Guentzel–Point–Goncalves | 1:130.02–0.07 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Gourde–Holmberg–James | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:120.01–0.20 | |||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 6:010.39–0.24 | 1:500.00–0.16 | 1:560.24–0.00 | 2:580.41–0.02 | 2:230.16–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.13 | 1:030.00–0.01 | 1:310.14–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.04 | 0:400.00–0.01 | 1:120.01–0.27 | |||||
| Hedman–Moser | 1:580.75–0.14 | 3:410.00–0.15 | 3:280.10–0.21 | 0:400.14–0.00 | 2:340.01–0.20 | 2:150.69–0.09 | 1:350.00–0.15 | 0:590.00–0.05 | 1:180.03–0.05 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:160.14–0.02 | 1:070.07–0.00 | |||||
| Raddysh–Lilleberg | 0:320.04–0.00 | 2:490.16–0.18 | 1:060.01–0.00 | 1:300.01–0.00 | 0:520.13–0.20 | 2:030.00–0.07 | 1:490.01–0.00 | 1:340.13–0.00 | 0:560.04–0.07 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:210.14–0.20 | 0:320.16–0.00 | |||||
| Moser–Lilleberg | 0:360.24–0.02 | 0:390.03–0.00 | 0:300.24–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Raddysh | 0:300.02–0.00 | 0:420.02–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 28 | 23:10 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 2 | 7 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 25 | 23:05 | 0:55 | 1:40 | 5 | 0 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 24 | 22:44 | 0:57 | 2:44 | 4 | 1 |
 Connor BedardCHI | 24 | 22:32 | 0:56 | 2:39 | 2 | 4 |
 Alex VlasicCHI | 25 | 22:19 | 0:54 | 1:54 | 0 | 5 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 28 | 21:40 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 2 | 7 |
 Frank NazarCHI | 26 | 21:33 | 0:50 | 2:25 | 4 | 1 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCHI | 22 | 20:41 | 0:56 | 2:25 | 4 | 0 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 25 | 20:38 | 0:50 | 2:01 | 4 | 0 |
 Wyatt KaiserCHI | 24 | 20:20 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 1 | 4 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 25 | 19:27 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 3 | 0 |
 Ilya MikheyevCHI | 23 | 18:21 | 0:48 | 1:54 | 1 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 25 | 17:50 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 5 | 4 |
 Sam RinzelCHI | 20 | 17:35 | 0:53 | 2:25 | 1 | 1 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 22 | 17:05 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 4 | 0 |
 Connor MurphyCHI | 20 | 16:35 | 0:50 | 1:06 | 0 | 4 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 19 | 16:34 | 0:52 | 2:02 | 1 | 2 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 24 | 16:20 | 0:41 | 1:30 | 5 | 5 |
 Nick FolignoCHI | 26 | 16:17 | 0:38 | 1:07 | 1 | 7 |
 Tyler BertuzziCHI | 16 | 16:07 | 1:00 | 3:40 | 2 | 3 |
 Ryan DonatoCHI | 19 | 15:05 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 2 | 1 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 18 | 14:28 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 3 | 2 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 17 | 14:22 | 0:51 | 1:26 | 1 | 2 |
 Colton DachCHI | 20 | 14:17 | 0:43 | 1:29 | 0 | 4 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 16 | 13:50 | 0:52 | 1:26 | 3 | 1 |
 Louis CrevierCHI | 17 | 13:22 | 0:47 | 1:54 | 0 | 4 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 18 | 13:03 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 2 | 2 |
 Artyom LevshunovCHI | 16 | 12:29 | 0:47 | 1:47 | 3 | 2 |
 Landon SlaggertCHI | 18 | 11:22 | 0:38 | 1:05 | 0 | 2 |
 Matt GrzelcykCHI | 14 | 11:11 | 0:48 | 1:06 | 2 | 1 |
 Ryan GreeneCHI | 15 | 10:59 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 2 | 3 |
 Lukas ReichelCHI | 13 | 10:58 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 0 | 2 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 14 | 10:09 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 4 | 0 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 14 | 9:59 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 5 | 2 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 13 | 9:00 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 |
 Curtis DouglasTBL | 12 | 7:08 | 0:36 | 0:51 | 4 | 0 |